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All Journal Enthusiastic : International Journal of Applied Statistics and Data Science PROCEEDINGS OF THE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON DATA SCIENCE AND OFFICIAL STATISTICS AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research
Ekaria
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Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Engineering Mathematics Social Sciences

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Competitiveness and Factors Influencing Indonesian Clove Exports to Eight Export Destination Countries from 2005-2020 Siti Ainia Hidayati; Ekaria
Proceedings of The International Conference on Data Science and Official Statistics Vol. 2023 No. 1 (2023): Proceedings of 2023 International Conference on Data Science and Official St
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34123/icdsos.v2023i1.299

Abstract

Indonesia is the largest clove producer and exporter in the world, but from 2005 to 2020 the average clove export was dominated by Madagascar. As the largest clove producer, Indonesia should be able to dominate the export market, especially cloves. Therefore, this study aims to determine the competitiveness position of Indonesian cloves and analyze the economic factors that affect Indonesian cloves exports. In this study, the analysis method use Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Export Product Dynamics (EPD), and a Fixed Effect Model (FEM) for panel data of eight export destination countries from 2005-2020. The results show that the competitiveness of Indonesian cloves is above the world average. The competitive position of Indonesia's clove exports in the Netherlands, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, United States, and Vietnam is a rising star. At the same time, the other two markets (India and Singapore) are falling stars. In addition, the export prices have a significant effect on the volume of Indonesian clove exports. Indonesian clove production and destination countries' GDP per capita have a positive effect, while economic distance has a negative effect on the volume of Indonesian clove exports.
Forecasting the Future: Trends in Population Growth, Rice Consumption and Rice Demand in North Maluku Ranita Rope; Ekaria
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Vol. 11 No. 1: January-June 2025
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/agraris.v11i1.777

Abstract

Food security is critical as consumption and population are growing rapidly. This study aims to predict population growth, rice consumption and rice demand in the province of North Maluku until 2028 used the ARIMA (2,2,0). Secondary data from BPS-Statistics Indonesia were used, covering population, consumption and rice demand from 2013 to 2023. The results indicated that the annual population growth in North Maluku ranges from 21,000 to 24,000. Simultaneously, the annual rice consumption is projected to increase by approximately two to three kilograms per capita. The predictive data revealed that rice demand was projected to increase from 71.37 million kg in 2024 to approximately 79.09 million kg by 2028, primarily stemmed by ongoing population growth and evolving consumption. These results signaled severe challenges in ensuring an adequate food supply, particularly in a region where rice serves as the primary staple food. These findings underlined the urgent need for data-driven policies, capable distribution networks, and crop diversification to guarantee sustainable food security. Moreover, this research has provided a roadmap for more efficient policy decision-making, highlighting the need for the utilization of modern technology in domestic food cultivation and distribution.
Modeling the Rural Banks’ Survival in Semarang City and Regency during the COVID-19 Pandemic Naufal, Cesario Hanif; Putri, Santi Maudila; Ekaria
Enthusiastic : International Journal of Applied Statistics and Data Science Volume 2 Issue 2, October 2022
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/enthusiastic.vol2.iss2.art7

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has a significant impact on all sectors including the financial sector. Rural banks are one of the financial institutions that has been affected by the pandemic. The pandemic makes debtors unable to repay the loans that can lead to the increase of non-performing loans. This increase will affect the performance of the rural banks which can lead to the liquidation of rural banks. This is reflected by the decrease in the number of rural banks in Indonesia in 2018–2020 periods. On the other hand, it turns out that rural banks in Semarang City and Regency were not affected by the pandemic. Those rural banks are relatively able to survive, which is reflected by the stable level of the bank’s health. Therefore, this study aims to determine factors that affect the survival status of rural banks in Semarang whether they survive or not during the COVID-19 pandemic. To achieve this goal, binary logistic regression was used in this study. The results show that firm size, income growth, and debtors’ quality have a significant effect on the survival status of rural banks in Semarang City and Regency during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Co-Authors Naufal, Cesario Hanif Putri, Santi Maudila Ranita Rope Siti Ainia Hidayati