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Peramalan Tingkat Penghunian Kamar (TPK) pada Hotel Berbintang di Banyuwangi dengan Metode Naive dan Decomposition Randhi Nanang Darmawan; Jemi Cahya Adi Wijaya; Adetiya Prananda Putra
G-Tech: Jurnal Teknologi Terapan Vol 8 No 1 (2024): G-Tech, Vol. 8 No. 1 Januari 2024
Publisher : Universitas Islam Raden Rahmat, Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33379/gtech.v8i1.3543

Abstract

One crucial element of managerial planning within the tourism and hospitality sector is utilizing historical data to forecast trends. This study aims to predict time series data for the Room Occupancy Rate (ROR) in Banyuwangi's starred hotels, considering that the increase in the number of tourist visits in Banyuwangi after the Covid-19 pandemic is quite high, and this is directly proportional to the Room Occupancy Rate. The study utilized Naive and Decomposition (Additive and Multiplicative) methods with time series data collected on a monthly basis from 2021 to 2023. The study compared the performance of the two methods. The study's results demonstrate that the Decomposition Method outperforms the Naïve method, with an average ROR value of 60.13% for the Additive model, along with MAD = 4.91%, RMSE = 6.708%, and MAPE = 10.85%. Similarly, the ROR value for the Multiplicative model yields a percentage of 61.26%, accompanied by MAD = 4.93%, RMSE = 6.73%, and MAPE = 10.78%. Therefore, based on this model, the ROR forecast value for the star hotels in Banyuwangi can be obtained for several month periods in the following year.
Bamboo Craft Development Strategy in the Industrial Era 4.0 Towards Society 5.0 Gintangan Village Mohammad Iskandar; Jemi Cahya Adi Wijaya; Adetiya Prananda Putra
Jurnal Indonesia Sosial Teknologi Vol. 5 No. 9 (2024): Jurnal Indonesia Sosial Teknologi
Publisher : Publikasi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59141/jist.v5i9.1730

Abstract

The creative economy sub-sector contributed Rp. 1,153.4 trillion or to the total National GDP, 15.2% of the workforce, and 11.9% of exports (Kominfo, 2022). One of the villages that has a creative industry is Gintangan Village. The majority of Gintangan Village residents have a livelihood, namely, craftsmen. Many people work as craftsmen to fulfill their daily needs. However, bamboo handicraft centers are currently considered to still use conventional business so the management and organization are not well organized. This research aims to formulate a development strategy for the Industrial Revolution 4.0 towards Society 5.0. This research uses Ministry of Industry indicators namely, 1) management and organization; 2) people and culture; 3) products and services; 4) technology; and 5) factory operations. This research method uses descriptive qualitative with SWOT analysis. The results of this study indicate that the potential of the bamboo handicraft industry includes fine fiber bamboo, strategic location, adequate human resources, a wide variety of bamboo handicrafts, bamboo handicraft tourism villages, good handicraft branding, and professional staff. The highest strength factor is being a Tourism Village in the field of bamboo handicrafts and the main weakness factor is the lack of knowledge of digital technology marketing. The highest opportunity factor is the support of mass media promotion and the main threat factor is uncertain global dynamics and the lack of public awareness of the importance of technology application.