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All Journal Journal of Humanities and Social Studies IIJSE
Irsad Lubis
Universitas Sumatera Utara, Medan, Indonesia
Arts Humanities Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Social Sciences

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ANALYSIS OF THE INFLUENCE OF DOMESTIC INVESTMENT, FOREIGN INVESTMENT, TOTAL POPULATION, TOTAL CRIMINALITY AND TOTAL UNEMPLOYMENT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN DELI SERDANG DISTRICT: ARDL MODEL APPROACH Ramadhan Devan Pratama; Irsad Lubis; Raina Linda Sari
JHSS (JOURNAL OF HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL STUDIES) Vol 7, No 3. (2023): JHSS (Journal of Humanities and Social Studies)
Publisher : UNIVERSITAS PAKUAN

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33751/jhss.v7i3..7915

Abstract

The aim of development in a country or region is to improve the welfare and prosperity of society in a fair and equitable manner, one of which is by increasing sustainable economic growth. Because with high economic growth, it will reduce the unemployment rate, crime rate and changes in economic structure so that it has a positive impact on economic development itself. The main objective of this study is to analyze the effect of domestic investment, foreign investment, population, crime and unemployment on economic growth in Deli Serdang Regency. The data analysis method used is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach in the time series data model and the observation time span of this study starts from 2010 to 2021 where data interpolation will be carried out in quarterly. According to the results of the analysis, the variables domestic investment and foreign direct investment have a positive significant effect on economic growth. Meanwhile, the variables of population, crime and unemployment have a negative significant impact on economic growth in the long run. However, in the short run, the variables of direct investment, foreign investment, population and crime have a positive significant impact on economic growth. on the other hand, only the number of unemployed has a negative significant effect on economic growth. Based on the results of this study, it is appropriate for the Government of Deli Serdang Regency to optimize programs that are oriented towards increasing investment both domestic and foreign, suppressing the rate of population growth and the number of unemployed and maintaining regional security in the Deli Serdang Regency area.
Dynamics of Provincial Per Capita GNP in Indonesia Modeling with GMM Dynamic Panel Econometric Approach Quarthano Reavindo; Wahyu Ario Pratomo; Irsad Lubis
Indonesian Interdisciplinary Journal of Sharia Economics (IIJSE) Vol 8 No 3 (2025): Sharia Economics
Publisher : Universitas KH. Abdul Chalim Mojokerto

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31538/iijse.v8i3.8410

Abstract

This research aims to analyze determinants factors of economic growth among provinces in Indonesia during the period of 2016–2022 using a dynamic panel data approach. Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) per capita serves as the main indicator of regional economic performance. The independent variables include road length, number of schools, average length of schooling, life expectancy, labor force participation rate (TPAK), skilled labor, and the Information and Communication Technology Development Index (ICT-DI). The estimation results show that human capital variables, especially average length of schooling and life expectancy, have a positive and significant effect on increasing GRDP per capita. The TPAK variable also shows a significant contribution in driving economic growth. On the other hand, physical infrastructure variables such as road length and number of schools have a significant negative effect, indicating that infrastructure development is not effective enough if it is not accompanied by an increase in quality and utilization. The skilled labor and ICT-DI variables do not show a statistically significant effect, indicating that there is still a gap between technological capacity and workforce skills. In addition, this research finds a process of economic convergence among provinces, with a convergence speed of 0.5094, which means around 50% of the gap in GRDP per capita can be corrected within one year. This finding emphasizes the importance of a development strategy that balances physical investment and strengthens the quality of human resources and digital transformation to support sustainable and inclusive regional economic growth.
Analysis of Factors Affecting Poverty in Indonesia Feronika Zendrato; Paidi Hidayat; Irsad Lubis
Indonesian Interdisciplinary Journal of Sharia Economics (IIJSE) Vol 8 No 3 (2025): Sharia Economics
Publisher : Universitas KH. Abdul Chalim Mojokerto

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31538/iijse.v8i3.8412

Abstract

This study aims to examine the influence of health, per capita expenditure, population density, labor force, communication expenditure, and inflation on poverty across 34 provinces in Indonesia. The research employs a dynamic panel data method using the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). The type of data used is secondary data obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics (Badan Pusat Statistik/BPS) and Bank Indonesia (BI). The independent variables in this study include health, per capita expenditure, population density, labor force, communication expenditure, and inflation, while the dependent variable is poverty. The results indicate that health, per capita expenditure, labor force, and communication expenditure have a negative and significant effect on poverty. Conversely, population density, inflation, and the lag of poverty have a positive and significant effect on poverty in Indonesia.
Co-Authors Feronika Zendrato Paidi Hidayat Quarthano Reavindo Raina Linda Sari Ramadhan Devan Pratama Wahyu Ario Pratomo