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All Journal Jurnal Teknik Elektro Jurnal EECCIS Syntax Literate: Jurnal Ilmiah Indonesia SinarFe7 Jurnal Teknik Elektro: Ilmu dan Teknologi
Daniel Rohi
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Humanities Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering Environmental Science Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Social Sciences Other

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Improving Temperature Prediction Accuracy Using Stacking Ensemble Methods in Meteorological Data Nugroho, Aryo; Rohi, Daniel
Syntax Literate Jurnal Ilmiah Indonesia
Publisher : Syntax Corporation

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.36418/syntax-literate.v10i12.62972

Abstract

Accurate temperature prediction is crucial for weather forecasting, influencing sectors such as agriculture, energy, and disaster management. This study aimed to improve daily temperature prediction using stacking ensemble methods on weather data from Pontianak (2021-2024). The research compared the performance of individual models, Linear Regression and Random Forest, and demonstrated how stacking—which combines multiple models—could enhance prediction accuracy. Stacking was implemented with Linear Regression and Random Forest as base learners, while a Linear Regression model served as the meta-learner to integrate the predictions from the base models. The results showed that the stacking model outperformed both individual models in terms of Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE), leading to more accurate predictions. While stacking improved accuracy, it introduced greater computational overhead compared to single-model approaches. This trade-off between accuracy and computational efficiency must be considered for real-world applications. The study demonstrated the effectiveness of stacking in enhancing temperature prediction accuracy, offering insights into how ensemble methods can improve weather forecasting.
Co-Authors Adikurniawan, Nadia Albert Richardo Bing Arbi Darmawan Gontani Aryo Nugroho Dion Dwipayana Utomo Hanny Hosiana Tumbelaka Julius Sentosa Setiadji Julius Sentosa Setiadji Lesmana, Romario Louviano Lukas Lukas Nadia Adikurniawan Ontoseno Penangsang Radita Sonixtus Arauna Romario Louviano Lesmana Tumbelaka, Hanny Hosiana