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All Journal Journal on Education JEBD
Thomas Adrian
Universitas Lampung
Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Engineering

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Pengaruh Jangka Pendek dan Jangka Panjang Impor Indonesia terhadap Stabilitas Nilai Tukar Rupiah Tahun 2010-2022 Putri Mellynia; Tiara Nirmala; Nurbetty Herlina Sitorus; Thomas Adrian
Journal on Education Vol 6 No 2 (2024): Journal on Education: Volume 6 Nomor 2 Tahun 2024
Publisher : Departement of Mathematics Education

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/joe.v6i2.5221

Abstract

This research aims to determine the effect of imports on the rupiah exchange rate in the short and long term. The method used in this research is Vector Error Correction (VECM) using time series data. The dependent variable in this research is the rupiah exchange rate (ER) and the independent variable is imports (IM). The results of this research show that imports have a positive and significant influence in the short term and also have a significant positive influence in the long term on the rupiah exchange rate.
Pengaruh PDB, Nilai Tukar, Inflasi, dan Kondisi Geopolitik Terhadap Neraca Perdagangan BRICS Desty Nuraini; Thomas Adrian; Rizka Malia
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Digital Vol. 4 No. 1 (2026): Juli - September
Publisher : CV. ITTC INDONESIA

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), exchange rate, inflation, and geopolitical conditions on the trade balance of BRICS countries during the 2015–2024 period. The research employs a panel data regression method using the Fixed effext Model (FEM). The data were collected from various relevant international sources and analyzed using statistical software. The results indicate that the exchange rate and geopolitical conditions have a significant effect on the trade balance of BRICS countries. Meanwhile, GDP and inflation do not have a significant effect on the trade balance. Simultaneously, GDP, exchange rate, inflation, and geopolitical conditions significantly influence the trade balance. These findings suggest that external factors, particularly exchange rates and geopolitical conditions, play a more important role in determining the trade balance of BRICS countries than domestic factors such as GDP and inflation. Therefore, maintaining exchange rate stability and enhancing the ability to respond to global geopolitical dynamics are essential for sustaining the international trade performance of BRICS countries.
Co-Authors Desty Nuraini Nurbetty Herlina Sitorus Putri Mellynia Rizka Malia Tiara Nirmala