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Penerapan Algoritma Decision Tree Dalam Melakukan Analisis Klasifikasi Harga Handphone Ahmad Taufiq Ramadhan; Faishal Hilmy F. G; Nadya Rafaela Puteri; Alifya Meirza
Jurnal Sistem Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer Vol. 1 No. 4 (2023): November : Jurnal Sistem Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer
Publisher : Universitas Katolik Widya Karya Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59581/jusiik-widyakarya.v1i4.1861

Abstract

The use of the Decision Tree method in smartphone price classification is the focus of this study. By using the 10 most relevant features and data normalization to achieve scale consistency, the Decision Tree algorithm delivers an average accuracy of 81%. Although some false positives and false negatives occur, the model is able to classify smartphone prices well, especially in identifying low and high prices. These results provide important insights into the features that affect smartphone prices. While there is still room for improvement, this model provides a solid foundation for the smartphone industry to determine prices based on certain specifications. The importance of relevant feature selection and data normalization was revealed in this study. Despite the accuracy reaching 81%, improvements in the classification of medium and high price classes are still possible to reduce prediction errors. This method provides an important basis for the smartphone industry to set prices based on specifications, and data mining techniques such as Decision Tree can be improved to improve the accuracy of future price predictions.
Pendekatan Metode Monte Carlo untuk Simulasi Pergerakan Harga Saham Ahmad Taufiq Ramadhan; Faishal Hilmy F. G.
Mars: Jurnal Teknik Mesin, Industri, Elektro Dan Ilmu Komputer Vol. 2 No. 3 (2024): Juni: Mars: Jurnal Teknik Mesin, Industri, Elektro Dan Ilmu Komputer
Publisher : Asosiasi Riset Teknik Elektro dan Informatika Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61132/mars.v2i3.123

Abstract

This research applies the Monte Carlo simulation method to predict the movement of Apple Inc.'s stock price over a long period of time. Using historical data of Apple's stock price from 12 December 1980 to 24 March 2022, this study aims to generate a probability distribution of the future stock price. The method involves several steps, including data collection, log return calculation, parameter estimation, and simulation of the stock price path through random iterations based on the log return distribution. The simulation results show that the closing price of Apple stock can be predicted by following the historical trend, although there are differences with the real data due to the stochastic nature of the Monte Carlo technique. This research also applies a variance reduction method to improve simulation efficiency. The findings provide a valuable perspective for investors and financial analysts in identifying investment risks and opportunities through an in-depth understanding of the dynamics of stock price movements using Monte Carlo simulation. Suggestions for future research include the use of VaR methods with historical variance and covariance approaches, as well as considering longer data periods and more stock indices for more comprehensive results.