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All Journal ALSYS : Jurnal Keislaman dan Ilmu Pendidikan
Mathew, Stephen
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Statistical Model for the Occurrence of Typhoid Fever in Takum, Taraba State, Nigeria: An Arima Model Approach Mathew, Stephen; Idi, Danjuma
ALSYS Vol 4 No 6 (2024): NOVEMBER
Publisher : Lembaga Yasin AlSys

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58578/alsys.v4i6.3580

Abstract

This study analyzes Typhoid Fever incidence at General Hospital Takum from 2012 to 2021 using ARIMA model. The initial data was non-stationary, necessitating differencing to achieve stationarity. The ARIMA (4,1,1) model, selected based on AIC, AICC, and BIC criteria, showed parameters within stationarity and invertibility constraints. Diagnostic tests validated the model's robustness, with Box-Ljung (Chi-Square = 6.7435, p = 0.7598), Shapiro-Wilk (W = 0.9754, p = 0.1213), and ARCH-LM (Chi-Square = 5.8762, p = 0.8176) results supporting its adequacy. Forecasts for the next 24 months indicate a significant upward trend in Typhoid Fever cases. The study recommends among others a regular update to the model with new data to ensure accuracy, consideration of additional variables that may influence Typhoid Fever trends, and implementation of targeted public health interventions based on forecasted trends to mitigate the rising incidence.
A Statistical Analysis of Attitudinal Changes Towards Female Breadwinners in Wukari Local Government Area Mathew, Stephen; Idi, Danjuma; Dangana, Blessing
ALSYS Vol 4 No 5 (2024): SEPTEMBER
Publisher : Lembaga Yasin AlSys

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58578/alsys.v4i5.3581

Abstract

This study carried out a statistical analysis of attitudinal changes towards female breadwinners in Wukari Local Government Area, Taraba State, Nigeria. Using a survey research method, a sample of 400 were examined. Primary data were collected using structured questionnaire and analysed using frequency counts and simple percent. Hypothesis were tested using the chi-square statistic. The findings reveal that a significant proportion of respondents recognize the importance of defining roles and responsibilities within the family, acknowledging the potential impact of female breadwinners on traditional family structures. Additionally, a notable portion of respondents agree that female breadwinners face financial and other challenges. Also, the findings reveal a significant shift in gender roles, driven by economic opportunities, social dynamics, and cultural norms. Hypothesis testing further demonstrates a significant increase in female breadwinners in the area, attributed to economic, social, and cultural factors. The study concludes by emphasizing the need for understanding and recommends awareness programs, policy interventions, educational initiatives in Wukari LGA.
Co-Authors Dangana, Blessing Idi, Danjuma