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All Journal ILKOM Jurnal Ilmiah
Sapuletea, Chrissandy
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Computer Science & IT

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Prediction and Analysis of Rice Production and Yields Using Ensemble Learning Techniques Sulistya, Yudha Islami; Musdholifah, Aina; Sapuletea, Chrissandy; Br Bangun, Elsi Titasari; Hamda, Hizbullah; Anjani, Sarah; Septiadi, Abednego Dwi
ILKOM Jurnal Ilmiah Vol 16, No 2 (2024)
Publisher : Prodi Teknik Informatika FIK Universitas Muslim Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33096/ilkom.v16i2.1948.115-124

Abstract

This research focuses on predicting and analyzing rice production and yield throughout the world using ensemble learning techniques. The study applies and compares three methods: linear regression, ARIMA, and ensemble learning, to predict rice harvest yields. The results show that ensemble learning techniques significantly improve prediction performance. For instance, the ensemble model for predicting area harvested, combining Model 6 (linear regression) and Model 10 (ARIMA), achieved  of coefficient of determination outperforming the individual models. Similarly, for predicting yield, the ensemble model combining Model 4 (linear regression) and Model 9 (ARIMA) achieved  of coefficient of determination indicating superior prediction accuracy. For predicting production, the ensemble model combining Model 2 (linear regression) and Model 8 (ARIMA) achieved  of coefficient of determination. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of ensemble learning in enhancing prediction accuracy with lower MSE and RMSE values. By analyzing various factors influencing rice yields, this research provides valuable insights for increasing rice production and yield, supporting efforts to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of rice farming, and contributing to achieving the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
Co-Authors Abednego Dwi Septiadi Aina Musdholifah Anjani, Sarah Br Bangun, Elsi Titasari Hamda, Hizbullah Yudha Islami Sulistya