Sembiring, Afri Emilia Br
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Xi Jinping's Foreign Policy After the 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party in Public Policy Analysis Surryanto Djoko Waluyo; Sembiring, Afri Emilia Br
Publisia: Jurnal Ilmu Administrasi Publik Vol. 10 No. 2: Oktober 2025
Publisher : Universitas Merdeka Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26905/pjiap.v10i2.15929

Abstract

This article explores the transformation of China’s foreign policy under Xi Jinping following the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), emphasizing the link between domestic power consolidation and international strategic behavior. Theb problem addressed is how Xi’s strengthened political control has influenced the formulation and implementation of foreign policy in the context of a more centralized and ideologically driven governance model. Using a qualitative research method and literature review approach, this study integrates foreign policy theories—particularly the Rational Actor Model and Role Theory—with public policy frameworks such as the Multiple Streams Framework (MSF) and the Advocacy Coalition Framework (ACF). The findings reveal that Xi’s consolidation of power has led to a foreign policy that is more assertive, nationalistic, and closely aligned with the party’s domestic priorities, including national security and technological self-reliance. Foreign policy formulation and implementation have become increasingly centralized, enabling strategic agility with minimal internal resistance. The study concludes that China’s foreign policy is not only shaped by external geopolitical pressures but also by internal political dynamics and ideological narratives, making it essential to analyze it through both international and domestic policy lenses.
The Implementation of Confidence-Building Measures (CBMs) in the South China Sea for Regional Stability through the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) Sembiring, Afri Emilia Br; Perwita, Anak Agung Banyu; Hadisancoko, Rizerius Eko; Wulandari, Adelia; Avanantsoa, Harlette Naudy Gea
Jurnal Pertahanan: Media Informasi tentang Kajian dan Strategi Pertahanan yang Mengedepankan Identity, Nasionalism dan Integrity Vol 10, No 2 (2024)
Publisher : The Republic of Indonesia Defense University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33172/jp.v10i2.19559

Abstract

Despite the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF)’s efforts to implement confidence-building measures (CBMs) since its establishment in 1994, there are still challenges that remain in achieving the desired level of trust and cooperation among its 27 member countries, particularly in the South China Sea (SCS). While CBM initiatives have contributed to reducing tensions, there is still a gap further complicated by the shifting power dynamics, particularly China’s rise and the United States’ strategic responses, which have heightened tensions in the Indo-Pacific region. Furthermore, this study aims to assess the effectiveness of confidence-building measures (CBMs) in defense cooperation and diplomacy within the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF), specifically in the context of the South China Sea (SCS). By analyzing the existing CBMs and identifying the gaps between the current state and the desired outcomes, the research seeks to provide insights into how these measures can be enhanced to manage tensions better, build trust, and promote regional stability amidst the evolving security landscape in the Indo-Pacific region. This research underscores the importance of CBMs in regional diplomacy and their potential to shape a stable and cooperative Indo-Pacific environment. The research used qualitative research methods, collecting data from scientific journals, websites, and previous research, which were analyzed to explore CBMs’ role in enhancing regional security and cooperation. Results indicate that CBMs have played a crucial role in promoting peace and stability in the Indo-Pacific and have been instrumental in reducing mistrust and preventing conflicts. However, challenges persist due to the complexity of regional security threats and the diverse interests of member states. Sustained cooperation and adaptability are essential to address evolving security dynamics. The effectiveness of CBMs in the SCS will depend on a commitment to dialogue among parties.