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Peramalan Harga Beras Premium dan Medium Di Provinsi Jawa Timur Dengan Metode Triple Exponential Smoothing Hariri, Rif'an
Sigmagri Vol. 5 No. 1 (2025): Juni
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32764/sigmagri.v5i1.1552

Abstract

Harga beras tidak stabil dan cenderung berubah-ubah setiap periode. Terdapat berbagai faktor yang menyebabkan harga beras berubah-ubah. Perubahan harga beras akan menimbulkan gejolak dikalangan masyarakat. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah meramalkan harga beras di tingkat penggilingan di masa yang akan datang sebagai langkah antisipasi kenaikan harga beras. Dengan adanya antisipasi kenaikan harga beras akan mampu mengambil langkah alternatif jika sewaktu – waktu harga beras melonjak tajam. Berdasarkan hasil peramalan harga beras premium bulan April hingga Desember di tahun 2025 cenderung berfluktuasi. Peramalan dengan menggunakan ,metode aditive maupun multiplikatif cenderung menunjukkan trend kenaikan. Hasil peramalan ini menunjukkan bahwa sepanjang bulan April hingga Desember tahun 2025 terdapat potensi harga beras premium diluar jangkauan masyarakat. Harga beras medium periode april hingga desember 2025 mengalami kenaikan tajam. Pada periode tersebut belum ada yang menyentuh angkan Rp 12.000. Harga beras medium berdasarkan metode aditive dengan multiplikatif mempunyai hasil yang berbeda. Peramalan menggunakan metode aditive harga beras berkisar antara Rp 12.000 hingga 15.000 sedangkan pada metode multiplikatif harga beras antara Rp 13.000 hingga Rp 20.000.
Sosialisasi Konsep Pertanian Modern di MA Nizhamiyah Ploso Sebagai Upaya Regenerasi Petani Hariri, Rif'an
Jumat Pertanian: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Vol. 6 No. 2 (2025): Agustus
Publisher : LPPM Universitas KH. A. Wahab Hasbullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32764/abdimasper.v6i2.6032

Abstract

Ploso sub-district is part of the Jombang district, which has potential in the agricultural sector. Currently, in the Ploso sub-district, there is a problem in the form of slowing farmer regeneration. The younger generation is not very interested in the agricultural sector. This phenomenon can be seen from the number of farmer household heads in Ploso Sub-district, which is the lowest in Jombang District. This needs to be done to increase the interest of the younger generation in the agricultural sector. The methods used in this community service are presentations and direct interviews. The results obtained show that most students at MA Nizhamiyah Ploso hold the view that agriculture is limited to planting crops on land. After socialization, the majority of students are of the view that the agricultural sector can also generate profits if managed properly. They also have an interest in the farming sector
The Social Profile of Farmers On Pest Control’s Techniques In Rice Plant at Plosoklaten Susanti, Ambar; Anshori, Moh; Nasiruddin, Mohamad; Hariri, Rif'an
AGARICUS: Advances Agriculture Science & Farming Vol. 5 No. 1 (2025): June
Publisher : LPPM Universitas KH. A. Wahab Hasbullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32764/agaricus.v5i1.5975

Abstract

Jarak Village, located in the Plosoklaten Subdistrict, exhibits considerable promise in the agricultural sector. It has potential to contribute the local economy through the production of food crops, horticulture, and livestock. Of these potential benefits, the food crop sector stands out, particularly in regard to rice production. The purpose of this study was to determine the relationship between age, education level, length of farming business with integrated pest control in rice plants.This research was conducted from October 2024 - January 2025. The analysis of the data was executed through the implementation of the rank Spearman method. The relationship between the age of respondents and pest control techniques on rice plants showed insignificant results in Jarak Village, Plosoklaten District, Kediri. A non-significant relationship was identified between education and pest control techniques in rice plants in Jarak Village, Plosoklaten District, Kediri. A substantial correlation has been identified between the duration of agricultural practices involving pest management techniques in rice plants in Jarak Village, Plosoklaten District, Kediri Regency