Maharani, Rafaela Suryadiva Indira
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Analisis Dampak Kebijakan Ekspor terhadap PDB, Pengangguran, dan Inflasi di Indonesia Andriansyah, Umar; Maharani, Rafaela Suryadiva Indira; Zahra, Rasya Az; Herlan, Mumtahanah Ceisa; Arbain, Nabil; Budiasih, Budiasih
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2023 No 1 (2023): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2023
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2023i1.1773

Abstract

International trade provides opportunities for every country to export and import the commodities it produces in order to fulfill the need for goods and services. Goods and services that cannot be obtained domestically can be obtained through international trade. This can be increase foreign exchange for exporting countries. This study aims to determine the impact of export policies on GDP, unemployment, and inflation in Indonesia. The data used in this research comes from the World Development Indicators (WDI) and Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) from 1986 to 2021. The analysis used is a system of simultaneous equations model using the Two-Stage Least Square (2SLS) estimation method. Based on the research result, there is a positive relationship between export and GDP. In addition, exports also indirectly affect unemployment and inflation through GDP. From the simulation results, an increase in export will encourage economic growth, increase the unemployment rate, and reduce the inflation rate.
Dampak TIK terhadap Produktivitas Tenaga Kerja dalam Mencapai Visi Indonesia Emas 2045 Maharani, Rafaela Suryadiva Indira; Kartiasih, Fitri; Amalia Isti Widiyasari
Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol 12 No 1 (2025): EKONOMI DAN BISNIS
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35590/jeb.v12i1.10778

Abstract

Purpose: This research aims to analyse the variables that influence labour productivity in Indonesia, with a focus on the role of information and communication technology (ICT) in supporting inclusive and sustainable economic growth towards the Vision of Golden Indonesia 2045. Design/methodology/approach: This study uses panel data from 34 provinces over the period 2015–2022. The estimation model used is Feasible Generalised Least Squares (FGLS). The variables analysed include physical capital, human capital, trade openness, real wages, mobile phone ownership, and internet access. Findings: The results show that physical capital, human capital, trade openness, real wages, and internet access have a significantly positive impact on labour productivity. On the contrary, mobile phone ownership has a significant negative impact, indicating that the utilisation of ICT for productivity is still not optimal. Research limitations/implications: The research is limited to provincial-level data and quantitative ICT indicators, thus it has not captured the aspects of quality and user behaviour. Further studies can explore the interactions between variables and the long-term effects of ICT utilisation. Practical implications: The government needs to promote the equitable distribution of internet infrastructure, enhance digital literacy, and implement policies that can reduce the disruptive impact of ICT on workers, in order to optimise the potential of digitalisation inclusively. Originality/value: This research offers a new contribution by using provincial panel data from 2015–2022 and analysing the differences in the impact of ICT between the western and eastern regions of Indonesia, as well as explicitly integrating ICT indicators into the analysis model. Paper type: Research paper.   Keywords: Output Gap, NTB, Potential RGDP, R-Statistics.