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Peningkatan Performa Model Machine Learning XGBoost Classifier melalui Teknik Oversampling dalam Prediksi Penyakit AIDS Wicaksono, Duta Firdaus; Basuki, Ruri Suko; Setiawan, Dicky
JURNAL MEDIA INFORMATIKA BUDIDARMA Vol 8, No 2 (2024): April 2024
Publisher : Universitas Budi Darma

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30865/mib.v8i2.7501

Abstract

The data shows that HIV (Human Immunodeficiency Virus) has caused tens of millions of global deaths, with 630,000 people dying from HIV-related illnesses in 2022 and 1.3 million people newly infected with HIV. Without treatment, HIV can progress to AIDS (Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome), weakening the immune system and increasing the risk of infections and other diseases. Despite advancements in treatment, early detection of AIDS remains a priority. This research develops an AIDS prediction model using machine learning, which proves to be an effective solution in providing future health predictions. However, data imbalance issues challenge the model in predicting rare AIDS cases. To solve this problem, oversampling techniques are employed to balance the distribution of minority classes. This study explores oversampling techniques such as SMOTE, ADASYN, and Random Oversampling, combined with the XGBoost algorithm. The results show that the combination of Random Oversampling technique with the XGBoost Classifier yields the best performance with an accuracy of 94.44%, precision of 90.72%, recall of 98.74%, and an f1_score of 94.65%. This research is expected to provide valuable insights for healthcare practitioners and the public in efforts to control the spread of AIDS globally.
Parameter Testing on Random Forest Algorithm for Stunting Prediction Mubarok, Ahmad Hasan; Pujiono, Pujiono; Setiawan, Dicky; Wicaksono, Duta Firdaus; Rimawati, Eti
Sinkron : jurnal dan penelitian teknik informatika Vol. 9 No. 1 (2025): Research Article, January 2025
Publisher : Politeknik Ganesha Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33395/sinkron.v9i1.14264

Abstract

Stunting is a significant public health problem, especially in developing countries like Indonesia. It is often caused by chronic malnutrition in the first 1,000 days of life, which can impact a child's physical growth and cognitive development. To find risk factors and find effective solutions, data analysis was conducted by utilising machine learning to predict stunting. This research uses the Random Forest algorithm with a focus on setting parameters such as n_estimators, max_depth, and the number of features to optimise model efficiency and accuracy. Using the 2023 Indonesian Health Survey data consisting of 25,800 data, this study managed to get the highest accuracy of 91.65% by a combination of Random Forest with parameter settings n_estimators 200, max_depth 30, and Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE). Despite the high accuracy results, there are limitations such as potential noise coming from synthetic data from SMOTE and the limited number of features analysed. It is hoped that this research can contribute to the field of machine learning model development that is practically used to predict stunting, and support the government's efforts to reduce the stunting prevalence rate to 14% as targeted. This model also provides strategic insights for policy makers to design more effective data-driven interventions, which can help in decision making.