Basem Ertimi
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Investigating Kaldor’s Theory in ASEAN-5 Countries Phany Ineke Putri; Malik Cahyadin; Basem Ertimi
Efficient: Indonesian Journal of Development Economics Vol. 7 No. 3 (2024)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/efficient.v7i3.14921

Abstract

Manufacturing is a strategic key sector in driving a country's productivity, which will increase per capita income. However, manufacturing has lost its relative role in both developed and developing countries. Five countries in the Southeast Asia region, namely Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, the Philippines, and Vietnam are five countries in the middle-income category that have the largest Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the Southeast Asia region. Based on World Bank data 2023 states that GNI per capita in 2023, namely Indonesia is ranked 112th, Thailand is ranked 80th, Malaysia is ranked 60th, the Philippines is ranked 113th, and Vietnam is ranked 131st. This study aims to analyze the influence of the variables Manufacturing, Foreign Direct Investment, Liner Shipping Connectivity Index, Mobile-cellular Telephone Subscriptions, and Education Index on Gross National Income per capita in five Southeast Asia countries from 2013 to 2022. Using panel data analysis, it is explained that the panel data regression estimation model Fixed Effect Model (FEM) shows an adjusted R2 value of 0.9833. The variables in this study have a significant effect on GNI per capita, namely the variables Manufacturing, Foreign Direct Investment, Liner Shipping Connectivity Index, Mobile-cellular Telephone Subscriptions, Education Index.
The Economic Sanctions Channel For The Curse Of The Petro-State Of Iran: Evidence From The Synthetic Control Method Malik Cahyadin; Basem Ertimi; Tamat Sarmidi
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan Vol. 17 No. 2 (2024): Vol. 17, No. 2, Agustus 2024 (pp.155-369)
Publisher : Universitas Udayana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2024.v17.i02.p02

Abstract

This study estimates the impact of economic sanctions on oil exports and economicgrowth in the case study of Iran. By creating a synthetic control group method thatreproduces the oil exports and economic growth before economic sanctions areimposed in the case of Iran, we compare the oil exports as well as the economic growthof the Synthetic and the actual for each period. Using the synthetic control method,we fill a major gap in the sanctioned literature in the petrostate economies case study.Our study finds that both oil exports and the economic growth of Iran would havebeen lower had it not been exposed to economic sanctions. This research is embeddedin the comparative and international landscape linked to the relations of internationalinfluences with the domestic economy. The findings explain that economic sanctionsare a leading factor in the variations in oil exports and economic growth, which canbe reflected in the oil curse. We claim that our empirical investigation can contributeto policy formulation in the domestic and foreign arena by sanctioned countries.Overall, the findings confirm that the imposition of sanctions on a petrostate economylike (Iran) can be operated as another channel of the resource curse from internationaland foreign policy perspectives.