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Adaptive Market Hypothesis: Evidence from Sharia Stocks in Asian countries Djauhari, Haikal; Rahmawati, Rahmawati; Al Arif, Muhammad Nur Rianto
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 13, No 1 (2024)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University of Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v13i1.40704

Research Originality: The adaptive market hypothesis, which is a new way to test capital market performance that reconciles the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) with behavioral finance, is the focus of our research. Our study's novelty lies in testing the efficiency of the Islamic capital market in six Asian countries: Bangladesh, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Pakistan, and Thailand, over different periods: before, during, and after the COVID-19 pandemic.Research Objectives: We aim to delve into its application in the Islamic capital market, which has seen significant growth in recent years.Research Methods: We employed the variance ratio test, the ARIMA model, and the Elman neural network to test efficiency.Empirical Result: Our findings revealed that the efficiency of sharia indices in these countries was not constant over the three periods, thereby supporting the existence of the adaptive market hypothesis.Implications: The results of this study are not only important for academic discourse but also offer practical applications for investors to refine their investment strategies, engaging the audience in a discussion on Islamic capital market efficiency.JEL Classification: G02, G14, G15

Strengthening the Role of Sharia Banking in Financing Solar Power Plants to Support Sustainable Development in Indonesia Djauhari, Haikal; Al Arif, Muhammad Nur Rianto; Hosen, Muhamad Nadratuzzaman
Al-Iqtishad: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Syariah Vol 16, No 2 (2024)
Publisher : Faculty of Sharia and Law, UIN Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/aiq.v16i2.39637

The reluctance of Islamic banking to participate in financing solar power plants is primarily due to higher risk and lower economic value than fossil-based energy. This study proposes a risk management guidance and financing model to strengthen the role of Sharia Banking in financing solar power plants and support sustainable development in Indonesia. There is a significant gap in the study of risk management and the Syariah financing model for solar power plants. We used a qualitative method that involved expert consultations and literature studies to identify the risks of solar power plants. We also derived an equity-based Diminishing Musyarakah for the Sharia financing model. The study’s result is a risk management framework and a Sharia financing scheme for solar power plants. By using this framework Sharia banks can increase their participation in supporting sustainable development. Keengganan perbankan syariah untuk berpartisipasi dalam pembiayaan pembangkit listrik tenaga surya terutama disebabkan oleh risiko yang lebih tinggi dan nilai ekonomi yang lebih rendah daripada energi berbasis fosil. Studi ini mengusulkan sebuah panduan manajemen risiko dan model pembiayaan untuk memperkuat peran Perbankan Syariah dalam pembiayaan pembangkit listrik tenaga surya dan mendukung pembangunan berkelanjutan di Indonesia. Terdapat kesenjangan yang signifikan dalam studi manajemen risiko dan model pembiayaan Syariah untuk pembangkit listrik tenaga surya. Kami menggunakan metode kualitatif yang melibatkan konsultasi dengan para ahli dan studi literatur untuk mengidentifikasi risiko pembangkit listrik tenaga surya. Kami juga menurunkan Musyarakah yang semakin berkurang berbasis ekuitas untuk model pembiayaan Syariah. Hasil dari penelitian ini adalah sebuah kerangka kerja manajemen risiko dan skema pembiayaan Syariah untuk pembangkit listrik tenaga surya. Dengan menggunakan kerangka kerja ini, bank-bank Syariah dapat meningkatkan partisipasi mereka dalam mendukung pembangunan berkelanjutan.

Adaptive Market Hypothesis: Evidence from Sharia Stocks in Asian countries Djauhari, Haikal; Rahmawati, Rahmawati; Al Arif, Muhammad Nur Rianto
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 13 No. 1 (2024)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v13i1.40704

Research Originality: The adaptive market hypothesis, which is a new way to test capital market performance that reconciles the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) with behavioral finance, is the focus of our research. Our study's novelty lies in testing the efficiency of the Islamic capital market in six Asian countries: Bangladesh, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Pakistan, and Thailand, over different periods: before, during, and after the COVID-19 pandemic.Research Objectives: We aim to delve into its application in the Islamic capital market, which has seen significant growth in recent years.Research Methods: We employed the variance ratio test, the ARIMA model, and the Elman neural network to test efficiency.Empirical Result: Our findings revealed that the efficiency of sharia indices in these countries was not constant over the three periods, thereby supporting the existence of the adaptive market hypothesis.Implications: The results of this study are not only important for academic discourse but also offer practical applications for investors to refine their investment strategies, engaging the audience in a discussion on Islamic capital market efficiency.JEL Classification: G02, G14, G15

Comparative Analysis of Efficient Market for Sharia and Conventional Stocks in ASEAN countries Rodoni, Ahmad; Djauhari, Haikal; Rahma, Yusro; Alhassan, Alhussaini Alawad
Al-Iqtishad: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Syariah Vol. 14 No. 1 (2022)
Publisher : UNIVERSITAS ISLAM NEGERI SYARIF HIDAYATULLAH JAKARTA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/aiq.v14i1.25025

This study analyzes and compares the weak forms of Islamic and conventional stock market efficiency in ASEAN countries. The data were taken from BEI Syariah (JKISSI), Jakarta Stock Exchange (JKSE), FTSE Bursa Malaysia EMAS Syariah (FTFBMS), FTSE Malaysia KLCI (KLSE), SET Index (SETI), and FTSE SET Syariah (FTFSTSH) from January 2015 to August 2021. To avoid analytical bias due to the COVID-19 Pandemic, the data is divided into two periods, January 2015 to December 2019 and January 2020 to August 2021. The contribution of this research is to compare the market efficiency of the weak form of Islamic and conventional stocks over two periods with different methods, namely Variance Ratio Test, Run Test, ARIMA Model, and Recurrent Neural Network (RNN). This study shows that Islamic stocks in these countries are more efficient from January 2015 to December 2019. On the other hand, conventional stocks are more efficient from January 2020 to August 2021 (during the COVID-19 Pandemic). Abstrak Penelitian ini menganalisa dan membandingkan bentuk lemah dari efisiensi pasar saham syariah dan konvensional di negara-negara ASEAN. Data berasal dari BEI Syariah (JKISSI), Bursa Efek Jakarta (JKSE), FTSE Bursa Malaysia EMAS Syariah (FTFBMS), FTSE Malaysia KLCI (KLSE), SET Index (SETI), dan FTSE SET Syariah (FTFSTSH) dari Januari 2015 hingga Agustus 2021. Untuk menghindari bias analisa akibat pandemi COVID-19, data dibagi menjadi dua periode, Januari 2015 hingga Desember 2019 dan Januari 2020 hingga Agustus 2021. Penelitian ini membandingkan bentuk lemah dari efisiensi pasar saham syariah dan konvensional selama dua periode waktu dengan metode berbeda, yaitu Variance Ratio Test, Run Test, Model ARIMA, dan Recurrent Neural Network (RNN). Studi menunjukkan bahwa Saham Syariah di negara-negara tersebut lebih efisien pada periode Januari 2015 hingga Desember 2019. Di sisi lain, saham konvensional lebih efisien pada periode Januari 2020 hingga Agustus 2021 (selama pandemi COVID-19).

Strengthening the Role of Sharia Banking in Financing Solar Power Plants to Support Sustainable Development in Indonesia Djauhari, Haikal; Al Arif, Muhammad Nur Rianto; Hosen, Muhamad Nadratuzzaman
Al-Iqtishad: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Syariah Vol. 16 No. 2 (2024)
Publisher : UNIVERSITAS ISLAM NEGERI SYARIF HIDAYATULLAH JAKARTA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/aiq.v16i2.39637

The reluctance of Islamic banking to participate in financing solar power plants is primarily due to higher risk and lower economic value than fossil-based energy. This study proposes a risk management guidance and financing model to strengthen the role of Sharia Banking in financing solar power plants and support sustainable development in Indonesia. There is a significant gap in the study of risk management and the Syariah financing model for solar power plants. We used a qualitative method that involved expert consultations and literature studies to identify the risks of solar power plants. We also derived an equity-based Diminishing Musyarakah for the Sharia financing model. The study’s result is a risk management framework and a Sharia financing scheme for solar power plants. By using this framework Sharia banks can increase their participation in supporting sustainable development. Keengganan perbankan syariah untuk berpartisipasi dalam pembiayaan pembangkit listrik tenaga surya terutama disebabkan oleh risiko yang lebih tinggi dan nilai ekonomi yang lebih rendah daripada energi berbasis fosil. Studi ini mengusulkan sebuah panduan manajemen risiko dan model pembiayaan untuk memperkuat peran Perbankan Syariah dalam pembiayaan pembangkit listrik tenaga surya dan mendukung pembangunan berkelanjutan di Indonesia. Terdapat kesenjangan yang signifikan dalam studi manajemen risiko dan model pembiayaan Syariah untuk pembangkit listrik tenaga surya. Kami menggunakan metode kualitatif yang melibatkan konsultasi dengan para ahli dan studi literatur untuk mengidentifikasi risiko pembangkit listrik tenaga surya. Kami juga menurunkan Musyarakah yang semakin berkurang berbasis ekuitas untuk model pembiayaan Syariah. Hasil dari penelitian ini adalah sebuah kerangka kerja manajemen risiko dan skema pembiayaan Syariah untuk pembangkit listrik tenaga surya. Dengan menggunakan kerangka kerja ini, bank-bank Syariah dapat meningkatkan partisipasi mereka dalam mendukung pembangunan berkelanjutan.

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