Aisah, Laras
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The Role of Political Stability in Foreign Investment Flows: Empirical Evidence from OIC Countries Abdullah; Aisah, Laras; Basri
El-Barka Journal of Islamic Economics and Business Vol. 7 No. 2 (2024)
Publisher : El-Barka

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Abstract

This study aims to identify the determinants influencing foreign investment flows in the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) countries and to directly analyze the moderating effect of political stability. The research utilizes secondary data from 50 OIC countries covering the period from 2012 to 2022. The study adopts the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimation technique to analyze the data. The findings reveal that inflation has a significant positive effect on foreign investment flows. Meanwhile, interest rates, labor force participation, and the Human Development Index (HDI) have significant yet non-positive effects. The HDI variable has a negative and insignificant effect. Furthermore, the political stability variable is able to strengthen the moderating influence of the interest rate on foreign direct investment, except for the inflation, labor force, exchange rate, and human development index variables. The conclusion, by incorporating the impact of political stability, governments can reduce political risks faced by investors and enhance their countries' attractiveness as credible investment destinations.
Realizing Sustainable Development In Indonesia Through Economic Growth Priorities: Empirical Evidence Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) Basri, Basri; Aisah, Laras; Abdullah, Abdullah
EKONOMIKA SYARIAH : Journal of Economic Studies Vol. 8 No. 1 (2024): June 2024
Publisher : Universitas Islam Negeri Sjech M. Djamil Djambek Bukittinggi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30983/es.v8i1.8590

Abstract

Indonesia's journey towards sustainable economic development is closely intertwined with global issues in female labor force participation, environmental policy, and geopolitical dynamics. This study analyzes the causal relationship between economic growth, geopolitical risk, the female labor force, and environmental policy rigor in Indonesia. The data type used is a time series starting in 1992–2022, and it uses the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) econometric model to identify the causal relationship and reveal the long-run and short-run effects between variables. The results of the analysis show that there is a one-way relationship between geopolitical risk and the female labor force. While the long-run test results show that the female labor force, geopolitical risk, and environmental policy have a significant impact on economic growth, The findings also reveal that there is a short-term effect between environmental policy stringency and economic development. This study emphasizes the importance of holistic and integrative policy formulation by considering the interaction of economic growth, women's participation in the workforce, environmental policy, and geopolitical risk to achieve sustainable development. By examining the causality and interdependence of the complex dynamics occurring in the socio-economic landscape, policymakers are expected to promote inclusive growth, consider environmental aspects, and be sensitive to geopolitical challenges in Indonesia's development trajectory.
Realizing Sustainable Development In Indonesia Through Economic Growth Priorities: Empirical Evidence Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) Basri, Basri; Aisah, Laras; Abdullah, Abdullah
EKONOMIKA SYARIAH : Journal of Economic Studies Vol. 8 No. 1 (2024): June 2024
Publisher : Universitas Islam Negeri Sjech M. Djamil Djambek Bukittinggi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30983/es.v8i1.8590

Abstract

Indonesia's journey towards sustainable economic development is closely intertwined with global issues in female labor force participation, environmental policy, and geopolitical dynamics. This study analyzes the causal relationship between economic growth, geopolitical risk, the female labor force, and environmental policy rigor in Indonesia. The data type used is a time series starting in 1992–2022, and it uses the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) econometric model to identify the causal relationship and reveal the long-run and short-run effects between variables. The results of the analysis show that there is a one-way relationship between geopolitical risk and the female labor force. While the long-run test results show that the female labor force, geopolitical risk, and environmental policy have a significant impact on economic growth, The findings also reveal that there is a short-term effect between environmental policy stringency and economic development. This study emphasizes the importance of holistic and integrative policy formulation by considering the interaction of economic growth, women's participation in the workforce, environmental policy, and geopolitical risk to achieve sustainable development. By examining the causality and interdependence of the complex dynamics occurring in the socio-economic landscape, policymakers are expected to promote inclusive growth, consider environmental aspects, and be sensitive to geopolitical challenges in Indonesia's development trajectory.