Article Per Year (5 Year)
p-Index From 2020 - 2025
0.23
P-Index
This Author published in this journals
All Journal Aurelia: Jurnal Penelitian dan Pengabdian Masyarakat Indonesia
Rochim, Bahrur
Unknown Affiliation
Humanities Computer Science & IT Education Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Social Sciences

Published : 1 Documents Claim Missing Document
Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 1 Documents
Search

 1 
Application of Single Exponential Smoothing and Double Exponential Smoothing in Forecasting Sales at Zoey Mart Stores Rochim, Bahrur; Yuana, Haris; Febrinita, Filda
AURELIA: Jurnal Penelitian dan Pengabdian Masyarakat Indonesia Vol 4, No 1 (2025): January 2025
Publisher : CV. Rayyan Dwi Bharata

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.57235/aurelia.v4i1.3711

Abstract

This research evaluates the Single Exponential Smoothing (SES) and Double Exponential Smoothing (DES) methods to predict sales of Fortune pillow oil at the Zoey Mart Store, which experiences sales fluctuations. SES with an alpha value of 0.5 produces a forecast of 285 items for January 2024, while DES with an alpha of 0.5 and beta 0.7 produces 338 items. Forecasting accuracy is measured using Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The results show that SES has a MAD of 73.82 and a MAPE of 28.81%, while DES has a MAD of 44.66 and a MAPE of 18.80%, but with lower responsiveness to changes in sales patterns. DES has lower accuracy and responsiveness , therefore this research recommends the use of DES for fluctuating sales at Zoey Mart, because DES is more suitable for these conditions. This guide helps Zoey Mart in better planning stock and estimating operational costs, especially in the face of uncertainty due to sales fluctuations.
Co-Authors Febrinita, Filda Yuana, Haris