Zhou, Xiaofeng
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Time Series Forecasting with LSTM: an extensive content analysis Pranolo, Andri; Zhou, Xiaofeng; Mao, Yingchi
Knowledge Engineering and Data Science
Publisher : citeus

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This paper presents a comprehensive bibliometric and content review of the trend, architecture, and application of long short-term memory (LSTM) models for time series forecasting. The study aims to provide insights into the overall statistics and distribution of papers focused on LSTM for forecasting. Additionally, the research questions address the most highly cited papers based on LSTM approaches in forecasting, the most productive journals in this field, and identifying trends, gaps, summary tasks and their performance, datasets availability, and future research directions for LSTM in forecasting. This paper is a comprehensive review of LSTM for forecasting from 2017 to 2023 and identifies emerging trends, potential research gaps, and future directions for LSTM in forecasting. These findings contribute to a deeper understanding of the current state of LSTM-based forecasting research and provide valuable insights for researchers and practitioners in the field. This bibliometric and content review sheds light on the landscape of LSTM for time series forecasting, highlighting the most cited papers and productive journals and outlining potential areas for future exploration and development of LSTM models in forecasting.
Exploring LSTM-based Attention Mechanisms with PSO and Grid Search under Different Normalization Techniques for Energy demands Time Series Forecasting Pranolo, Andri; Zhou, Xiaofeng; Mao, Yingchi; Pratolo, Bambang Widi; Wibawa, Aji Prasetya; Utama, Agung Bella Putra; Ba, Abdoul Fatakhou; Muhammad, Abdullahi Uwaisu
Knowledge Engineering and Data Science
Publisher : citeus

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Advanced analytical approaches are required to accurately forecast the energy sector's rising complexity and volume of time series data. This research aims to forecast the energy demand utilising sophisticated Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) configurations with Attention mechanisms (Att), Grid search, and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO). In addition, the study also examines the influence of Min-Max and Z-Score normalization approaches in the preprocessing stage on the accuracy performances of the baselines and the proposed models. PSO and Grid Search techniques are used to select the best hyperparameters for LSTM models, while the attention mechanism selects the important input for the LSTM. The research compares the performance of baselines (LSTM, Grid-search-LSTM, and PSO-LSTM) and proposes models (Att-LSTM, Att-Grid-search-LSTM, and Att-PSO-LSTM) based on MAPE, RMSE, and R2 metrics into two scenarios normalization: Min-Max, and Z- Score. The results show that all models with Min-Max normalization have better MAPE, RMSE, and R2 than those with Z-Score. The best model performance is shown in Att-PSO-LSTM MAPE 3.1135, RMSE 0.0551, and R2 0.9233, followed by Att-Grid-search-LSTM, Att-LSTM, PSO-LSTM, Grid-search-LSTM, and LSTM. These findings emphasize the effectiveness of attention mechanisms in improving model predictions and the influence of normalization methods on model performance. This study's novel approach provides valuable insights into time series forecasting in energy demands.