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Trend of Big Chili Prices in Makassar City Using the Arimax Method: Trend Harga Cabai Besar di Kota Makassar Menggunakan Metode Arimax Andi Alifa, Andi Amran Asriadi; Firmansyah; Nailah Husain
JURNAL AGRI-TEK : Jurnal Penelitian Ilmu-Ilmu Eksakta Vol. 25 No. 2 (2024): JURNAL AGRI-TEK
Publisher : Universitas Merdeka Madiun

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33319/agtek.v25i2.132

Abstract

The aims of the study were (1) to analyze the price forecasting of large chilies based on Arima, (2) to analyze the parameter estimates in the best arima model which can be used to select the best Arima in Makassar City. The type of data used is quantitative data or secondary data. Secondary data in this study were obtained from the official website of the National Strategic Food Price Information Center. The data analysis used is an analysis of the ARIMA forecasting model using EViews12 Statistics. The results of the research are large chili price forecasting based on Arima, the results of the Augmented Dicky Fuller (ADF) test show the statistical value of ADF |-6.513855| > critical value|-2.912631| at the 5% level. (2). The results of the accuracy of the ARIMAX forecasting model on large chili price data in Makassar City using the out-sample criteria, obtained the Mean Square Error (MSE) value. The model chosen is Model (1.1.1), which has the largest MSE of 15510.83, Model (4.0.0), which is the most moderate, has an MSE of 13867.02, and Model (4.1.1) which has the smallest MSE of 13839.57. All P-Value numbers for the regression coefficients, both the ARIMA Models (1.1.1), (4.0.0), (4.1.1) are all below the number ? = 0.05%.
Estimasi Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Biaya Usahatani Padi Di Kecamatan Turatea Kabupaten Jeneponto Andi Alifa, Andi Amran Asriadi; Husain, Nailah
Jurnal AGRIBIS Vol. 18 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal Agribis
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis Faperta Universitas Muhammadiyah Bengkulu

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.36085/agribis.v18i1.7238

Abstract

The purpose of the study was to determine the factors that affect the cost of rice farming in Turatea District, Jeneponto Regency. This study uses a quantitative approach. This research uses a quantitative approach. This research uses primary and secondary data. The data analysis method of this work uses multiple linear regression models using SPSS version 25. Tests were carried out with classical assumption tests such as normality test, autocorrelation test, heteroscedasticity test, multicollinearity test, F-test. (simultaneous) and t-test (partial). The results of this study indicate that the factors that have a significant positive effect on the cost of rice farming include fertilizer costs (X1), and labor costs (X2) to farming costs. Factors that do not have a significant impact on farming costs such as seed costs (X3), pesticide costs (X4), and rice production (X5). In rice production if the production conditions are well utilized, rice production will be better, meaning that the output part of production is greater than the input part of the output, that is, the income from the costs incurred will be greater so that income can also increase.
Sosialisasi Dan Pemanfaatan Marketplace Sebagai Media E-Commerce Dalam Promosi Produk Unggulan Pertanian Di Desa Mamampang Kecamatan Tombolopao Kabupaten Gowa Andi Alifa, Andi Amran Asriadi; Firmansyah, Firmansyah; Husain , Nailah
Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Nusantara Vol. 4 No. 4 (2023): Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Nusantara (JPkMN)
Publisher : Lembaga Dongan Dosen

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

E-commerce adalah segala kegiatan jual beli atau transaksi yang dilakukan menggunakan sarana media elektronik (internet), sehingga proses transaksi jual beli yang dilakukan oleh penjual dan pembeli sehingga pelaksanaan lapangan memahaminya kepada Masyarakat di desa mamampang. Tujuan dilakukan kegiatan pengabdian masyarakat adalah untuk transfer ilmu pengetahuan dan teknologi melalui sosialisasi dan pelatihan pemanfaatan marketpalce tentang aplikasi media e- commerce untuk promosi produk hasil pertanian. Metode kegiatan pengabdian masyarakat dilakukan dengan beberapa langkah yaitu: perencanaan, pengumpulan informasi permasalahan yang di hadapi, koordinasi dan persiapan pelaksanaan kegiatan, membuat undangan kepada sasaran/ masyarakat setempat, Mengevaluasi kegiatan pkm kepada mitra. Hasil kegiatan ini memberikan sosialisasi dan pelatihan kegiatan para peserta sangat antusias mengikuti kegiatan yang berlangsung. hal ini terlihat dari partisipasi aktif dalam kegiatan yang diharapkan. prosesnya berjalan baik dengan mempelajari dasar-dasarnya yaitu memperkenalkan aplikasi, membuat akun, dan mencoba mengunduh produk. untuk pengembangan berkelanjutan dari kegiatan pengabdian ini, diharapkan dapat lebih dikembangkan menjadi pembelajaran fitur-fitur online yang berkelanjutan seperti uji coba penjualan barang, pencetakan resi dan pengiriman pesanan, serta pembelajaran pengambilan foto produk yang baik untuk meningkatkan daya tarik pembeli mereka.