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All Journal Jurnal Manajemen Terapan dan Keuangan Owner : Riset dan Jurnal Akuntansi Jurnal Revenue : Jurnal Ilmiah Akuntansi Jurnal Ar-Ribh West Science Accounting and Finance
Syahfir, Hasri Ainun
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Humanities Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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Journal : Jurnal Ar-Ribh

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Islamic Equity Investment Under Fiscal Pressure: Evaluating the Impact of Indonesia’s VAT Increase on Sharia-Compliant Markets Insirat, Mutahira Nur; Syahfir, Hasri Ainun; Darmawati, Darmawati; Rasyid, Syarifuddin
Jurnal Ar-Ribh Vol 8, No 2 (2025): October 2025
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Makassar

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Abstract

This study investigates the implications of Indonesia’s Value Added Tax (VAT) increase from 11% to 12%, effective January 1, 2025, on Sharia-compliant equity markets. Introduced as part of broader fiscal reforms, the policy aims to strengthen state revenue while exempting essential goods to minimize public burden. Using a qualitative exploratory approach, the study analyzes the impact of this fiscal shift on investor sentiment, market behavior, and sectoral performance. Results reveal that the VAT hike may reduce consumer purchasing power and corporate profitability, especially in consumption-driven sectors, thus increasing market volatility. Conversely, sectors such as healthcare, technology, and halal fintech demonstrate resilience and alignment with Sharia principles. From an Islamic finance perspective, the VAT policy is acceptable if it fulfills the objectives of maqasid al-shariah, particularly justice and protection for vulnerable groups. The study concludes that incorporating ethical investment frameworks and promoting strategic sectoral diversification can help Islamic equity investors manage risks and harness long-term opportunities amid fiscal tightening.
Navigating the 12% VAT Increase in Indonesia: Challenges and Opportunities for Equity Investors in the Context of Islamic Finance Insirat, Mutahira Nur; Syahfir, Hasri Ainun; Darmawati, Darmawati; Rasyid, Syarifuddin
Jurnal Ar-Ribh Vol. 8 No. 2 (2025): October 2025
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Makassar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26618/bdb97z47

Abstract

This study examines the economic and investment implications of Indonesia’s Value Added Tax (VAT) increase from 11% to 12%, effective January 1, 2025, within the framework of Islamic finance. The policy, part of a broader fiscal reform, aims to enhance state revenue, promote sustainable development, and strengthen fiscal stability, while applying the higher rate only to luxury goods and services. Using an exploratory qualitative approach, this research analyzes both challenges and opportunities arising for equity investors in the Indonesian capital market. Findings reveal that the VAT increase may reduce consumer purchasing power, particularly affecting consumption-driven sectors such as consumer goods and retail, thereby increasing market volatility and reducing short-term profitability. However, sectors less affected by the policy such as healthcare, technology, and halal finance present diversification opportunities aligned with Shariah principles. From an Islamic finance perspective, taxation is permissible when implemented with fairness (‘adl) and aimed at public welfare (maslahah), ensuring that vulnerable groups remain protected. The study highlights that investors integrating Shariah ethics, risk management, and sustainability considerations can navigate fiscal adjustments more effectively. Overall, the VAT increase, while posing short-term market challenges, may lead to long-term fiscal resilience and responsible investment opportunities under a just and transparent Islamic economic framework.
Co-Authors Amiruddin Amiruddin Darmawati Darmawati Darwis Said, Darwis Haliah, Haliah Insirat, Mutahira Nur Mediaty Nirwana Panggeso, Anastasia Gloria Rasyid, Syarifuddin Syamsuddin Syamsuddin Usman, Asri