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All Journal JOURNAL OF INFORMATION SYSTEM RESEARCH (JOSH)
Purnomo, Indarto Aditya
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Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management

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Analisis Prediksi Banjir di Indonesia Menggunakan Algoritma Support Vector Machine dan Random Forest Purnomo, Indarto Aditya; Indra, Jamaludin; Awal, Elsa Elvira; Rohana, Tatang
Journal of Information System Research (JOSH) Vol 6 No 1 (2024): Oktober 2024
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi (FKPT)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47065/josh.v6i1.5958

Abstract

Natural disasters frequently occur in Indonesia, such as floods, landslides, and volcanic eruptions. Geological factors, such as the convergence of four major tectonic plates, make Indonesia vulnerable to natural disasters. Statistical data from the National Disaster Management Agency show an increase in flood occurrences each year, peaking in 2021 with 1,794 incidents. Early anticipation is necessary to minimize the impact of natural disasters, and predictive patterns are becoming new knowledge for preventing and managing these disasters. This study applies the Support Vector Machine and Random Forest algorithms. The results of this study predict that the largest number of floods from 2024 to 2026 in Indonesia will occur in Aceh with 240 floods, North Sumatra with 215 floods, West Java with 210 floods, and Central Java with 160 floods. The best algorithm comparison results were achieved with Random Forest, which had an accuracy of 99.6% and an average RMSE value of 3.834.
Co-Authors Awal, Elsa Elvira Indra, Jamaludin Rohana, Tatang