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ANALISIS PERAMALAN PRODUKSI UBI KAYU (Manihot utilisima) DI PROVINSI LAMPUNG FORECASTING ANALYSIS OF CASSAVA PRODUCTION (Manihot utilisima) IN LAMPUNG PROVINCE Sri Hidayati; Nurullia Febriati; Haidawati -
Jurnal Agroindustri Berkelanjutan Vol 3, No 1 (2024)
Publisher : Jurusan Teknologi Hasil Pertanian

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23960/jab.v3i1.8861

Abstract

Lampung, one of the provinces in Indonesia, is recognized as one of the main producers of cassava in the country. Cassava plants hold significant value as raw materials in the food industry and other industrial sectors, particularly in tapioca production. To anticipate the raw material needs in industries, production forecasting becomes a key aspect of effective planning. Various forecasting methods are employed, including Linear Regression, Moving Average, Weighted Moving Average, Exponential Smoothing, and Exponential Smoothing with Trend. Forecast evaluations are conducted by measuring Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD), Mean Squared Error (MSE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). Analysis indicates that the Linear Regression method proves to be the most effective in forecasting cassava production in Lampung Province. This method yields the lowest MSE, MAD, and MAPE values compared to other methods, signifying a higher level of accuracy in cassava production forecasting. Thus, the utilization of this method can serve as a strong foundation in more efficient and effective production planning in the cassava sector in Lampung. This provides a crucial basis for making more informed decisions in production and inventory management, enhancing industrial performance, and ensuring smooth raw material supply.
Hygiene and Business Management Training for Low-Grade Coffee Bean Mask Products in Ulubelu Sri, Sri Hidayati; Nurullia Febriati; Widya Khairunnisa Sarkowi
Al-Mu'awanah: Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Vol 7 No 1 (2026): Juni 2026
Publisher : Universitas Islam Negeri Raden Intan Lampung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24042/h986my10

Abstract

Ulubelu District, Tanggamus Regency, Lampung Province, is one of the robusta coffee-producing areas with considerable potential for local resource-based community enterprise development. At the end of the harvest season and during sorting, farmers often obtain low-grade coffee beans with limited market value. KWT Anggrek in Pekon Gunung Tiga has initiated the processing of low-grade coffee beans into herbal coffee mask products, but the group still requires stronger knowledge of hygienic production, business management, financial recording, product labeling, and licensing preparation. This community service activity aimed to improve the capacity of KWT members to produce coffee-based masks hygienically and to manage the product as a small household enterprise. The activity used a participatory training approach consisting of need identification, lectures, discussion, demonstration, hands-on practice, mentoring, and evaluation through pre-test, post-test, questioning, and practice observation. The results showed that participants improved their understanding of raw material selection, worker hygiene, equipment sanitation, clean production flow, packaging, storage, basic business planning, cost calculation, simple bookkeeping, product labeling, and licensing preparation. The evaluation indicated that participants' understanding reached up to 80% after the activity. This training strengthened local resource utilization and supported women's entrepreneurship in rural coffee-producing communities. Keywords: business management; coffee by-product; cosmetics hygiene; KWT Anggrek; training.