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All Journal Journal of Mathematics UNP
Yanata, Dwiki Dzakwan
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Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Mathematics

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Peramalan Produksi Padi Di Provinsi Sumatera Barat dengan Metode LSTM Yanata, Dwiki Dzakwan; Helma, Helma
Journal of Mathematics UNP Vol 10, No 1 (2025): Journal Of Mathematics UNP
Publisher : UNIVERSITAS NEGERI PADANG

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/unpjomath.v10i1.16977

Abstract

The occurrence of rice surplus in West Sumatra Province, makes this province has the potential to become a rice exporting area without reducing local stocks. This research aims to forecast rice production using the LSTM method, which excels in time series data analysis. This research uses secondary data in the form of monthly rice production in West Sumatra from 2009 to 2023 obtained from the Agriculture Office of West Sumatra Province. The process involves data processing, division of the dataset into training and testing data, and construction of the LSTM model. The model is designed to recognize patterns and trends in rice paddy production. The forecasting results show a range of paddy production between 177,038 to 185,343 tons with a MAPE value of 10%, which indicates a good level of accuracy.
Co-Authors Helma Helma