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Pemodelan Logistik untuk Pertumbuhan Kependudukan Kabupaten Karo di Provinsi Sumatera Utara pada Tahun 2025-2026 Latersia P, Egya Dora; Utami, Destia Nada; Amisri, Nurul Hasanah Tri; Hanafi, Muhammad Rizki
FARABI: Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika Vol 8 No 1 (2025): FARABI: Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika
Publisher : Program Studi Pendidikan Matematika FKIP UNIVA Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47662/farabi.v8i1.924

Abstract

Population growth is the rate of change in the number of people living in an area at a given time compared to the number of people living in that area previously. Population changes have significant implications as they can influence the progress and welfare of a region. Population growth is one of the important factors that influence the social, economic, and environmental dynamics of a region. The prediction of population growth in Karo Regency aims to understand demographic dynamics and its implications for regional development. Karo Regency, located in North Sumatra, Indonesia, is experiencing a significant increase in population due to factors such as migration, births, and deaths. Based on data obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) of Karo Regency in 2020-2023, it can be assumed that the capacity (K) = 500,000. One alternative that can be used to forecast the population in Karo Regency is to utilize the logistic growth model. The results showed that the logistic model I with a relative growth rate per year of 7.26% so the results show that the population prediction of Karo Regency in 2025 is 425,385 and 2026 is 434,148.
Pemodelan Logistik untuk Pertumbuhan Kependudukan Kabupaten Karo di Provinsi Sumatera Utara pada Tahun 2025-2026 Latersia P, Egya Dora; Utami, Destia Nada; Amisri, Nurul Hasanah Tri; Hanafi, Muhammad Rizki
FARABI: Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika Vol 8 No 1 (2025): FARABI: Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika
Publisher : Program Studi Pendidikan Matematika FKIP UNIVA Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47662/farabi.v8i1.924

Abstract

Population growth is the rate of change in the number of people living in an area at a given time compared to the number of people living in that area previously. Population changes have significant implications as they can influence the progress and welfare of a region. Population growth is one of the important factors that influence the social, economic, and environmental dynamics of a region. The prediction of population growth in Karo Regency aims to understand demographic dynamics and its implications for regional development. Karo Regency, located in North Sumatra, Indonesia, is experiencing a significant increase in population due to factors such as migration, births, and deaths. Based on data obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) of Karo Regency in 2020-2023, it can be assumed that the capacity (K) = 500,000. One alternative that can be used to forecast the population in Karo Regency is to utilize the logistic growth model. The results showed that the logistic model I with a relative growth rate per year of 7.26% so the results show that the population prediction of Karo Regency in 2025 is 425,385 and 2026 is 434,148.