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All Journal FARABI: Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika
Latersia P, Egya Dora
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Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Mathematics

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Pemodelan Logistik untuk Pertumbuhan Kependudukan Kabupaten Karo di Provinsi Sumatera Utara pada Tahun 2025-2026 Latersia P, Egya Dora; Utami, Destia Nada; Amisri, Nurul Hasanah Tri; Hanafi, Muhammad Rizki
FARABI: Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika Vol 8 No 1 (2025): FARABI
Publisher : Program Studi Pendidikan Matematika FKIP UNIVA Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47662/farabi.v8i1.924

Abstract

Population growth is the rate of change in the number of people living in an area at a given time compared to the number of people living in that area previously. Population changes have significant implications as they can influence the progress and welfare of a region. Population growth is one of the important factors that influence the social, economic, and environmental dynamics of a region. The prediction of population growth in Karo Regency aims to understand demographic dynamics and its implications for regional development. Karo Regency, located in North Sumatra, Indonesia, is experiencing a significant increase in population due to factors such as migration, births, and deaths. Based on data obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) of Karo Regency in 2020-2023, it can be assumed that the capacity (K) = 500,000. One alternative that can be used to forecast the population in Karo Regency is to utilize the logistic growth model. The results showed that the logistic model I with a relative growth rate per year of 7.26% so the results show that the population prediction of Karo Regency in 2025 is 425,385 and 2026 is 434,148.
Co-Authors Amisri, Nurul Hasanah Tri HANAFI, MUHAMMAD RIZKI Utami, Destia Nada