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All Journal Jurnal Manajemen Bisnis dan Organisasi
Tomasowa, Olivia L.E
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Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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ANALYSIS OF THE INFLUENCE OF RUPIAH EXCHANGE RATE, BI INTEREST RATE, AND FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES ON INFLATION IN INDONESIA DURING THE PERIOD 2002–2023 Uskono, Frederina Jubika; Ballo, Fransina W; Tomasowa, Olivia L.E
Jurnal Manajemen Bisnis Dan Organisasi Vol 4 No 1 (2025): Jurnal Manajemen Bisnis Dan Organisasi (JMBO)
Publisher : Yayasan Pendidikan Cahaya Budaya Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58290/jmbo.v4i1.398

Abstract

Inflation has long been an economic issue in Indonesia, where this phenomenon is significantly influenced by several factors such as the Rupiah exchange rate, the BI interest rate, and foreign exchange reserves. When maintained at an appropriate level, inflation can stimulate economic growth in a positive direction. The purpose of this study is to analyze the partial and simultaneous relationship between the Rupiah exchange rate, the BI interest rate, and foreign exchange reserves on the inflation rate in Indonesia during the period 2002–2023. This research employs a mixed-method approach, using the Error Correction Model (ECM) for analysis. The data used consist of secondary data in the form of time series, while the primary data were obtained directly from informants through interviews. The partial results indicate that the exchange rate has a significant effect on inflation in both the short and long term; the BI interest rate also significantly affects inflation in both the short and long term. Meanwhile, foreign exchange reserves have a significant effect on inflation in the short term but do not have a significant effect in the long term. Simultaneously, in both the short and long term, the Rupiah exchange rate, BI interest rate, and foreign exchange reserves have a significant effect on inflation in Indonesia.
The Influence of Credit Guarantees on the Growth of Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) in Kupang City Handu, Variani Setia; Ballo, Fransina W; Tomasowa, Olivia L.E
Jurnal Manajemen Bisnis Dan Organisasi Vol 4 No 1 (2025): Jurnal Manajemen Bisnis Dan Organisasi (JMBO)
Publisher : Yayasan Pendidikan Cahaya Budaya Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58290/jmbo.v4i1.433

Abstract

Credit guarantee is a strategic effort to improve access to financing for Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) in Kupang City. This study aims to examine the influence of credit guarantees on the growth of MSMEs in Kupang City and analyze how the implementation of credit guarantees can strengthen business performance, increase sales, and profit for MSME actors. This research employs a quantitative approach with data collected through surveys and documentation from MSME actors who have received credit guarantees. The results indicate that credit guarantees have a positive and significant effect on the growth of MSMEs in Kupang City. Prior to obtaining guarantees, MSME actors faced obstacles in accessing capital, managing transactions, and developing their businesses, especially those just starting out. After receiving credit guarantees, MSME actors were able to overcome these barriers, enhance business capacity, and compete in the local market. The conclusions of this study affirm that credit guarantees are a crucial factor in driving MSME growth and supporting sustainable regional economic development.
Co-Authors Handu, Variani Setia Uskono, Frederina Jubika Welhelmina Ballo , Fransina