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All Journal MATHunesa: Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis (JUKONI)
Raldo, Alfio
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Economics, Econometrics & Finance Mathematics

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Analisis Pengaruh Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Dan Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka Terhadap Penduduk Miskin Di Provinsi Sumatera Barat Raldo, Alfio; Samsuddin, M. Afdal
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025): JUKONI - Juni
Publisher : CV. SINAR HOWUHOWU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70134/jukoni.v2i2.535

Abstract

Poverty remains a fundamental challenge in national development, particularly in developing countries such as Indonesia. This study aims to examine the influence of the Human Development Index (HDI) and the Open Unemployment Rate (OUR) on the percentage of poor population (PP) in West Sumatra Province. Employing a quantitative associative approach, this research utilizes annual secondary data from 1994 to 2023. The analysis method used is multiple linear regression, supported by classical assumption tests and hypothesis testing, including t-tests, F-tests, and the coefficient of determination. The results indicate that, partially, HDI has a significant negative effect on PP, suggesting that improvements in human development contribute to poverty reduction. On the other hand, OUR does not show a statistically significant effect on PP, although it tends to have a negative relationship. Simultaneously, HDI and OUR have a significant joint effect on PP, with an Adjusted R² value of 0.989, indicating a very high predictive capability of the model. These findings offer critical insights for the formulation of inclusive, data-driven socio-economic policies at the provincial level.
PENGARUH LUAS PANEN DAN PRODUKTIVITAS PADI TERHADAP PRODUKSI PADI DI PROVINSI KEPULAUAN BANGKA BELITUNG TAHUN 2018-2024 Khoirun Laili Nur Amaliah; Raldo, Alfio; Fitria, Arini; Fathir, Bagastama Iqbalil; Kustiawan, Elyas; Akbar, Ridho
MATHunesa: Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika Vol. 14 No. 1 (2026)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Surabaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26740/mathunesa.v14n1.p477-484

Abstract

Food security is one of the important issues in national development. In Indonesia, rice plays a role as the main commodity providing rice for the Indonesian people. Rice production in the Bangka Belitung Islands Province has shown a positive trend over the past few years. This study aims to analyze the effect of harvested area and productivity on rice production in the Bangka Belitung Islands Province. The data used are panel data of districts/cities in the Bangka Belitung Islands Province with a monthly period. The analysis method used is panel data regression with the help of EViews software. Based on the results of the Chow, Hausman, and Lagrange (LM) multiplier tests, the best model obtained is a random effects model with an estimated result of . The coefficient of determination (R²) value of 0.925579 indicates that 92.56% of the variation in rice production can be explained by harvested area and productivity, while the remaining 7.44% is explained by other variables outside the model. These results confirm that harvested area and productivity play an important role in increasing rice production in Bangka Belitung and can be a reference for local governments in formulating policies to improve food security. Keywords: Harvested Area, Rice Production, Productivity, Random Effect, Panel Data Regression.
Co-Authors Fathir, Bagastama Iqbalil Fitria, Arini Khoirun Laili Nur Amaliah Kustiawan, Elyas Ridho Akbar Samsuddin, M. Afdal