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Pengaruh Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Tingkat Pengangguran, Kesehatan, dan Jumlah Penduduk Terhadap Kemiskinan di Provinsi Kalimantan Barat Nurdianti, Lili; Samsuddin, M. Afdal
Buletin Ekonomika Pembangunan Vol 5, No 1 (2024): FEBRUARY
Publisher : Jurusan Ilmu Ekonomi Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Trunojoyo Madura

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21107/bep.v5i1.25851

Abstract

What Drives Low-Human Development in South Bangka Regency? Integrating with ARIMA Forecasting Samsuddin, M. Afdal; Putra, Agung Rizki; Rahmani, Zikri
MediaTrend Vol 19, No 2 (2024): OKTOBER
Publisher : Trunojoyo University of Madura

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21107/mediatrend.v19i2.25129

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the increase in the components of the human development index (HDI) in South Bangka Regency, namely (1) Life Expectancy (LE), (2) and Mean Years of Schooling (MYS), (3) Per Capita Expenditure (PCE). This research also aims to test the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) time series model to predict the three HDI components. The data in this study uses secondary data obtained from various sources from 2011 to 2022. The results of our study show that, Life expectancy is influenced by access to clean water and the number of doctors in South Bangka Regency, the mean years of schooling are influenced by the number of elementary school teachers and the education budget, and the increase in per capita expenditure is influenced by the increase in government spending. The prediction results show that this model is accurate enough for forecasting. The research results show that the ARIMA model has the best performance for predicting LE, MYS, and PCE where the LE ARIMA model is (2,2,2), the MYS ARIMA model is (3,1,1), and the ARIMA PKE model is (2,1,2).
Rencana Pengembalian Fungsi (Revitalisasi) Terminal Selindung Kota Pangkal Pinang sebagai Pusat Aktivitas Ekonomi, Sosial Dan Mobilitas Urban Yang Berkelanjutan Rahmadan, Alyyah; Aqil Albajili, Hanif; Anjarsari, Nadia; Samsuddin, M. Afdal
PENG: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Manajemen Vol. 2 No. 1b (2025): AGUSTUS 2024 -JANUARI 2025
Publisher : Teewan Journal Solutions

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62710/ws6j7p75

Abstract

This research examines the revitalization plan for Terminal Selindung in Pangkalpinang City as an effort to optimize its function as a center for economic activities, social interactions, and sustainable urban mobility. Terminal Selindung, located on Komala Street, Selindung Baru Village, Gabek District, currently faces various problems such as infrastructure damage, lack of maintenance, and low utilization by the community. This study employs a quantitative descriptive method with financial feasibility analysis including Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR), and Payback Period (PP). The analysis shows that the revitalization project requires Rp 1,161,562,000 with a completion time of 1 month and 5 days. NPV calculations at interest rates of 10% and 15% yield values of Rp 1,232,826,145 and Rp 962,491,711 respectively, with an IRR of 12.8%, BCR of 2.06, and Payback Period of 1.85 years. These results indicate that the Terminal Selindung revitalization project is financially feasible. The revitalization is expected to reduce traffic congestion, increase public transportation usage, and stimulate economic activities around the terminal.
Rencana Pembangunan Gedung Olahraga (GOR) Badminton di Kawasan Universitas Bangka Belitung Proposal Proyek Andini, Andini; Macela Putri, Disti; Fernando, Eric; Dezta Maharani, Nuraprillia; Samsuddin, M. Afdal
PENG: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Manajemen Vol. 2 No. 1b (2025): AGUSTUS 2024 -JANUARI 2025
Publisher : Teewan Journal Solutions

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62710/qxshz960

Abstract

Development takes place to improve the welfare of local communities. As a developing country, the Indonesia government is focusing on infrastructure development. The Indonesia government considers the development of physical infrastructure to be a key area to achieve equality and high economic growth. Increased infrastructure development is excepted to boost Indonesia’s economic growth. The purpose of this article is to determine the impact of infrastructure development on economic growth in Indonesia. The method used to write this article was to review the literature presented in the form of a narrative and read various news sources presented in a narrative explaining the impact of infrastructure development on economic growth in Indonesia is. The conclusion is 1). Progress in infrastructure development will promote economic growth in indonesia. The increase in infrastructure development is reflected in the increase in the road index, which is one if the main indicators, in line with the efforts of the Indonesia government to continue building roads within the Indonesian terriotory in recent years, indicating that roads make a positive contribution to the development of society. Doing this increase in gross domestic product. Products that serve as indicators of economic growth in indoensia 2). Indonesia’s economic growth is accompanied by increased economic equality. Increased economic growth is reflected in a significant increase in gross domestic product (GDP) and increased economic equality, which is reflected in a key indicator growth in per capita income.
Pengaspalan Jalan di Desa Air Duren upaya Peningkatan Infrastruktur untuk Kesejahteraan Masyarakat Hanasari, Alhayu; Eka Putri , Ananda; Ananda Lubis, Bela; Rana, Aninda Andi; Samsuddin, M. Afdal
PENG: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Manajemen Vol. 2 No. 1b (2025): AGUSTUS 2024 -JANUARI 2025
Publisher : Teewan Journal Solutions

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62710/h59mz879

Abstract

Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui desain proyek pengaspalan jalan di desa Air Duren kecamatan Mendo Barat kabupaten Bangka, ntuk mengetahui berapa biaya yang dikeluarkan dalam proyek pengaspalan jalan di desa Air Duren kecamatan Mendo Barat kabupaten Bangka, ntuk mengetahui kelayakan dari proyek pengaspalan jalan di desa Air Duren kecamatan Mendo Barat kabupaten Bangka layak atau tidak dan untuk mengetahui dampak yang ditimbulkan dari proyek pengaspalan jalan di desa Air Duren kecamatan Mendo Barat kabupaten Bangka terhadap aktivitas Masyarakat. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode deskriptif kuantitatif dengan teknik pengolahan data berupa Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Benefit Cost Ratio (B/C Ratio), Payback Period (PP). Hasil penelitian didapatkan bahwa proyek pengaspalan jalan di Desa Air Duren memiliki potensi yang besar untuk meningkatkan infrastruktur serta kesejahteraan masyarakat setempat. Berdasarkan analisis finansial yang menunjukkan hasil positif, Net Present Value (NPV) dengan suku bunga 10% NPV yang diperoleh sebesar Rp 414.646.840, dan pada suku bunga 15% NPV yang diperoleh sebesar RP 224.086.873. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) sebesar 13,2%. rasio Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR) sebesar 1,34 dan Payback Period (PP) selama 3,7 tahun, proyek ini tidak hanya layak secara finansial, tetapi juga diharapkan dapat memberikan dampak sosial dan ekonomi yang signifikan. Peningkatan aksesibilitas yang dihasilkan dari proyek ini akan mendukung pertumbuhan ekonomi lokal, mempercepat akses ke layanan pendidikan dan kesehatan, serta mengurangi angka kecelakaan lalu lintas. Oleh karena itu, proyek ini diharapkan dapat menjadi faktor pendorong dalam meningkatkan kualitas hidup masyarakat di Desa Air Duren dan sekitarnya.
Pengaruh Partisipasi Angkatan Kerja (PAK) Dan Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka (TPT) Terhadap PDRB Di Provinsi Sumatera Utara Andini; Samsuddin, M. Afdal
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025): JUKONI - Juni
Publisher : CV. SINAR HOWUHOWU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70134/jukoni.v2i2.515

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This study aims to analyze the extent to which labor force participation and open unemployment rates influence the Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) across 33 regencies/cities in North Sumatra Province over the period 2019–2023. Utilizing panel data regression with a Fixed Effect Model, the results show an R-squared value of 99.12%. Labor force participation has a positive coefficient (44.61) but is statistically insignificant (p = 0.11), while the open unemployment rate has a negative coefficient (−237.44) and is significant at the 90% confidence level (p = 0.096). These findings suggest that increasing the quantity of labor force participation alone is insufficient to boost GRDP without improving labor quality, whereas reducing unemployment has been shown to effectively enhance regional economic output.
Analisis Hubungan Kausalitas Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Jumlah Penduduk Miskin Dan Ekspor Industri Di Provinsi Jawa Barat Mubarak, Alfan; Samsuddin, M. Afdal
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025): JUKONI - Juni
Publisher : CV. SINAR HOWUHOWU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70134/jukoni.v2i2.519

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the causal relationship between economic growth, poverty, and industrial exports in West Java Province using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) approach. The data used are annual secondary data from 2014 to 2023, which were interpolated into monthly data. The research begins with a stationarity test, followed by the Johansen cointegration test, VECM estimation, as well as Granger causality, impulse response function (IRF), and variance decomposition (VD) analyses. The results indicate the existence of a long-term relationship among the variables, making the VECM model suitable for use. The Granger test shows that industrial exports significantly affect economic growth but do not directly influence poverty reduction. The IRF results reveal that economic growth and poverty are more responsive to their own internal shocks, while cross-variable effects are present but relatively weak. The variance decomposition analysis supports this finding, with most fluctuations explained by internal shocks, except for economic growth, which is also influenced by export contributions. These findings emphasize the importance of optimizing the industrial export sector as a driver of sustainable economic growth, alongside inclusive policies to ensure that such growth translates into meaningful poverty reduction in West Java.
Pengaruh Gini Ratio Dan Apbd Per Kapita Terhadap Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Di Provinsi Nusa Tenggara Timur Albajili, Hanif Aqil; Samsuddin, M. Afdal
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025): JUKONI - Juni
Publisher : CV. SINAR HOWUHOWU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70134/jukoni.v2i2.532

Abstract

This study aims to examine the influence of income inequality and regional budget expenditure per capita on the Human Development Index (HDI) in East Nusa Tenggara Province. HDI serves as a key metric in assessing the success of human development, encompassing dimensions such as education, health, and standard of living. Income inequality is represented by the Gini Ratio, while regional expenditure per capita reflects the fiscal capability of local governments to deliver public services. The analysis employs annual secondary data from 2014 to 2024 using a multiple linear regression method. The findings of this study are expected to offer empirical insights for formulating equitable and sustainable human development policies in regions facing fiscal and structural limitations such as East Nusa Tenggara.
Analisis Pengaruh Tingkat Kesehatan Dan Tingkat Pendidikan Terhadap Tingkat Kemiskinan Di Indonesia Tahun 2017 - 2024 Fernando, Eric; Samsuddin, M. Afdal
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025): JUKONI - Juni
Publisher : CV. SINAR HOWUHOWU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70134/jukoni.v2i2.533

Abstract

This research seeks to examine how education and health levels influence poverty in Indonesia over the period from 2017 to 2024, utilizing quarterly data derived from interpolated annual figures. The study employs average years of schooling as a proxy for education, life expectancy as a measure of health, and the poverty rate to represent the level of poverty. A time series regression approach is applied, complemented by classical assumption tests including stationarity, normality, autocorrelation, heteroscedasticity, and multicollinearity to validate the robustness of the model. The findings reveal that education has a statistically significant negative effect on poverty, whereas health does not exert a meaningful impact. The adjusted R-squared value of 0.861 indicates that about 86.1% of the variation in poverty can be explained by the model's independent variables. These results highlight the critical role of enhancing educational access and quality as a strategic approach to poverty reduction in Indonesia. In developing countries, poverty is often influenced by limited access to education and basic health services, which hinders human capital development. Therefore, understanding the role of these factors is essential in designing inclusive and evidence-based public policies.
Pengaruh Inflasi Dan Tingkat Ketenagakerjaan Terhadap Produk Domestik Regional Bruto Di Negara-Negara Apec: Analisis Regresi Data Panel Tahun 2010–2019 Maulana, Ilham; Samsuddin, M. Afdal
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025): JUKONI - Juni
Publisher : CV. SINAR HOWUHOWU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70134/jukoni.v2i2.534

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the impact of inflation and unemployment rates on Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) in APEC member countries from 2010 to 2019. By utilizing the panel data regression method, this study integrates dimensions between countries and time to capture economic dynamics in more depth. The information obtained comes from official publications from international institutions and covers 21 APEC member countries. The resulting regression models include the Common Effect Model (CEM), Fixed Effect Model (FEM), and Random Effect Model (REM), where the selection of the most optimal model is determined through the Chow test, Hausman test, and Lagrange Multiplier test. The analysis shows that inflation has a negative and significant impact on GRDP, while the labor absorption rate has a positive and significant impact. These results indicate that price stability and labor acceptance are key elements in driving economic growth in the APEC region. This study is expected to be a reference for economic decision makers in formulating more efficient and comprehensive macroeconomic strategies.