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All Journal JEPA (Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian dan Agribisnis) Agro Bali: Agricultural Journal Jurnal Dinamika Sosial Ekonomi
Dalimunthe, Nina Rahmida
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Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Environmental Science Social Sciences

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Analysis of Factors Determining Intra-ASEAN Product Trade Flows : Gravity Model Approach Septiyanti, Ratih; Dalimunthe, Nina Rahmida; Asharuddin, Muh.
Jurnal Dinamika Sosial Ekonomi Vol. 26 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal Dinamika Sosial Ekonomi
Publisher : Agribusiness Department, Faculty of Agriculture, UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31315/jdse.v26i1.14773

Abstract

International trade encourages the creation of economic cooperation regionally. Integration of the ASEAN Economic Region by initiating the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) is expected to increase intra-ASEAN trade. However, the contribution of trade between ASEAN countries to ASEAN trade value has experienced stagnant growth and is still dominated by trade between countries outside the ASEAN region. The aim of this research is to determine the factors that influence trade flows between ASEAN countries so that they can encourage the value of trade between ASEAN countries. The data used in this research is panel data consisting of 10 ASEAN member countries for 17 years which is explained using a gravity model approach. The research results show that the GDP variables of exporting countries, population of export destination countries and trade openness have a significant positive influence on the value of trade between ASEAN countries. ASEAN countries need to consider a country's trade openness when formulating international trade policies in order to have a positive impact on increasing trade value.
Competitiveness of Indonesian Essential Oil Exports in the Chinese Market and Rival Countries Dalimunthe, Nina Rahmida; Rosiana, Nia; Rifin, Amzul; Harmini, Harmini
Agro Bali : Agricultural Journal Vol 8, No 3 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Panji Sakti

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37637/ab.v8i3.2361

Abstract

Indonesia is one of the world’s largest producers of essential oils; however, its export competitiveness in the Chinese market has fluctuated over time. This study aims to analyze the level and dynamics of Indonesia’s essential oil export competitiveness compared to other major exporting countries in the Chinese market. The research uses secondary time-series data from 2011 to 2023 obtained from Trade Map. Competitiveness is assessed using the Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) and Dynamic Revealed Comparative Advantage (DRCA) methods. The findings reveal that Indonesia generally demonstrates strong competitiveness, except in 2011 when it was weak and in 2022 when it was moderate. Based on DRCA, Indonesia was classified as a “rising star” in 2011–2013 and 2017–2019, a “falling star” in 2013–2015, a “lost opportunity” in 2019–2021, and experienced a decline to the “lagging retreat” position in 2015–2017 and 2021–2023. These fluctuations are influenced by unstable production, limited product innovation, and quality standards that do not fully align with market requirements. To strengthen its competitiveness, Indonesia must enhance product quality, adopt technological innovations, and foster collaboration among stakeholders.
POSISI PASAR PRODUK CENGKEH INDONESIA DI PASAR DUNIA MENGGUNAKAN METODE ALMOST IDEAL DEMAND SYSTEM (AIDS) Dalimunthe, Nina Rahmida; Ratih Septiyanti; Muh. Asharuddin
Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian dan Agribisnis Vol. 10 No. 1 (2026)
Publisher : Department of Agricultural Social Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Brawijaya University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21776/

Abstract

ABSTRACT One of the largest clove producers in the world is Indonesia. One of the agricultural commodities most widely used as raw material for various industries is cloves. This study aims to analyze the market position of Indonesian clove products in the global market. This research is necessary considering that Indonesia is not the only country exporting cloves in the world market. The market position of Indonesian clove products in the global market is analyzed using the Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) method. The dependent variable is the share of the three exporting countries, and the independent variables are the prices of cloves from Indonesia, Madagascar, and Singapore in the global market. The data used is monthly time series secondary data from January 2010 to November 2023. The results of the study indicate that Indonesian clove products are inelastic to changes in price and elastic to expenditure in the global market. The relationship between Indonesian cloves and those from Madagascar and Singapore complements each other or is complementary.  Keywords: AIDS, competitive position, cloves, demand elasticity. ABSTRAK Indonesia merupakan salah satu produsen cengkeh terbesar di dunia. Cengkeh adalah salah satu komoditi pertanian yang banyak digunakan sebagai bahan baku untuk berbagai jenis industri. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis posisi pasar produk cengkeh Indonesia di pasar dunia. Penelitian ini penting dilakukan mengingat bahwa Indonesia bukan satu-satunya negara yang mengekspor cengkeh di pasar dunia. Posisi pasar produk cengkeh Indonesia di pasar dunia dianalisis menggunakan metode Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS). Metode AIDS dipilih karena kemampuannya untuk mengestimasi permintaan dengan mempertimbangkan variasi harga dan pengeluaran secara lebih akurat. Variabel dependen dalam penelitian ini adalah pangsa pasar dari tiga negara eksportir, sedangkan variabel independennya adalah harga cengkeh dari Indonesia, Madagaskar, dan Singapura di pasar dunia. Data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder time series bulanan dari Januari 2010 hingga November 2023. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa produk cengkeh Indonesia bersifat inelastis terhadap perubahan harga dan elastis terhadap pengeluaran di pasar dunia. Selain itu, hubungan antara cengkeh Indonesia dengan Madagaskar dan Singapura bersifat saling melengkapi atau komplementer. Kata kunci : AIDS, cengkeh, elastisitas permintaan, posisi persaingan.
Co-Authors Amzul Rifin Asharuddin, Muh. Harmini, Harmini Muh. Asharuddin Ratih Septiyanti Rosiana, Nia Septiyanti, Ratih