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Analysis of Factors Determining Intra-ASEAN Product Trade Flows : Gravity Model Approach Septiyanti, Ratih; Dalimunthe, Nina Rahmida; Asharuddin, Muh.
Jurnal Dinamika Sosial Ekonomi Vol. 26 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal Dinamika Sosial Ekonomi
Publisher : Agribusiness Department, Faculty of Agriculture, UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31315/jdse.v26i1.14773

Abstract

International trade encourages the creation of economic cooperation regionally. Integration of the ASEAN Economic Region by initiating the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) is expected to increase intra-ASEAN trade. However, the contribution of trade between ASEAN countries to ASEAN trade value has experienced stagnant growth and is still dominated by trade between countries outside the ASEAN region. The aim of this research is to determine the factors that influence trade flows between ASEAN countries so that they can encourage the value of trade between ASEAN countries. The data used in this research is panel data consisting of 10 ASEAN member countries for 17 years which is explained using a gravity model approach. The research results show that the GDP variables of exporting countries, population of export destination countries and trade openness have a significant positive influence on the value of trade between ASEAN countries. ASEAN countries need to consider a country's trade openness when formulating international trade policies in order to have a positive impact on increasing trade value.
Competitiveness of Indonesian Essential Oil Exports in the Chinese Market and Rival Countries Dalimunthe, Nina Rahmida; Rosiana, Nia; Rifin, Amzul; Harmini, Harmini
Agro Bali : Agricultural Journal Vol 8, No 3 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Panji Sakti

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37637/ab.v8i3.2361

Abstract

Indonesia is one of the world’s largest producers of essential oils; however, its export competitiveness in the Chinese market has fluctuated over time. This study aims to analyze the level and dynamics of Indonesia’s essential oil export competitiveness compared to other major exporting countries in the Chinese market. The research uses secondary time-series data from 2011 to 2023 obtained from Trade Map. Competitiveness is assessed using the Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) and Dynamic Revealed Comparative Advantage (DRCA) methods. The findings reveal that Indonesia generally demonstrates strong competitiveness, except in 2011 when it was weak and in 2022 when it was moderate. Based on DRCA, Indonesia was classified as a “rising star” in 2011–2013 and 2017–2019, a “falling star” in 2013–2015, a “lost opportunity” in 2019–2021, and experienced a decline to the “lagging retreat” position in 2015–2017 and 2021–2023. These fluctuations are influenced by unstable production, limited product innovation, and quality standards that do not fully align with market requirements. To strengthen its competitiveness, Indonesia must enhance product quality, adopt technological innovations, and foster collaboration among stakeholders.