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Analysis of Factors Determining Intra-ASEAN Product Trade Flows : Gravity Model Approach Septiyanti, Ratih; Dalimunthe, Nina Rahmida; Asharuddin, Muh.
Jurnal Dinamika Sosial Ekonomi Vol. 26 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal Dinamika Sosial Ekonomi
Publisher : Agribusiness Department, Faculty of Agriculture, UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31315/jdse.v26i1.14773

Abstract

International trade encourages the creation of economic cooperation regionally. Integration of the ASEAN Economic Region by initiating the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) is expected to increase intra-ASEAN trade. However, the contribution of trade between ASEAN countries to ASEAN trade value has experienced stagnant growth and is still dominated by trade between countries outside the ASEAN region. The aim of this research is to determine the factors that influence trade flows between ASEAN countries so that they can encourage the value of trade between ASEAN countries. The data used in this research is panel data consisting of 10 ASEAN member countries for 17 years which is explained using a gravity model approach. The research results show that the GDP variables of exporting countries, population of export destination countries and trade openness have a significant positive influence on the value of trade between ASEAN countries. ASEAN countries need to consider a country's trade openness when formulating international trade policies in order to have a positive impact on increasing trade value.
FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMENGARUHI ALIRAN PERDAGANGAN PRODUK ANTARNEGARA ECOSOC 2023 Asharuddin, Muh.; Rifin, Amzul; Nurmalina, Rita
Jurnal Dinamika Sosial Ekonomi Vol. 25 No. 1 (2024): Jurnal Dinamika Sosial Ekonomi
Publisher : Agribusiness Department, Faculty of Agriculture, UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Kegiatan perdagangan internasional menjadi salah satu objek fundamental dalam memenuhi kebutuhan masyarakat dalam kerja sama perdagangan satu dengan yang lainnya. Kegiatan perdagangan semakin bebas dan terus mengalami peningkatan seiring perkembangan waktu. Ekspor dan impor terus dilakukan seiring perkembangan zaman. PBB adalah organisasi induk yang menghimpun banyak negara untuk saling terbuka dan melihat permasalahan dunia sekarang. PBB menaungi banyak instititusi sesuai dengan fokusnya masing-masing contohnya UNESCO, UN WOMEN, UNEP, ECOSOC, dan lainnya. ECOSOC menjadi organisasi yang bertujuan untuk mendukung kerja sama perdagangan dunia serta menjadi problem solving bagi permasalahan ekonomi dunia mengingat pertumbuhan ekonomi menjadi salah satu indeks kemajuan suatu negara. Adapun tujuan dari penelitian ini yakni untuk mendeskripsikan faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi aliran perdagangan pada negara yang tergabung dalam ECOSOC 2023. Metode penelitian yang digunakan menggunakan model gravity dengan variabel yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini seperti GDP, GDP perkapita, Populasi, jarak dan nilai tukar yang bersumber dari Trade Map, UN Comtrade, World Bank Data dan CEPII. 16 Negara yang dipilih mewakili setiap benua dan memiliki kuantitas yang tinggi terhadap variabel yang diuji. Hasil penelitian menggambarkan bahwa variabel GDP perkapita negara reporter dan GDP perkapita negara partner berpengaruh secara positif dan signfikan, sedangkan variabel GDP negara partner berpengaruh signfikan namun negatif. ECOSOC sebagai organisasi dengan fokus dalam bidang kerjasama sosial dan isu ekonomi dunia perlu memberikan intervensi kebijakan dalam mendukung negara-negara dalam pemenuhan kebutuhan.
The Impact of The RCEP Agreement on The Export Performance of Indonesia’s Processed Cocoa Asharuddin, Muh.; Harianto; Feryanto
Jurnal Manajemen dan Agribisnis Vol. 22 No. 3 (2025): JMA Vol. 22 No. 3, November 2025
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17358/jma.22.3.344

Abstract

Background: The RCEP trade agreement, which has been in effect since 2023, will undoubtedly play a role in facilitate trade flows by reducing barriers, especially for Indonesia's leading commodity exports in the international market. Purpose: This study analyzes the impact of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) agreement on the export performance of Indonesian processed cocoa commodities in the international market.Design/methodology/approach: The data used are secondary data in the form of panels from 2018 to 2024, with cross sections in the form of quarters. The research method uses Difference in Difference (DiD) analysis by looking at changes in performance variables assessed based on diversification value (HHI), export value, and export volume after the agreement's implementation.Findings/Results: The estimation results show that the RCEP trade agreement increases the value by 0.52 units and export volume by 0.68 units, but not diversification. The diversification value of processed cocoa exports in RCEP member countries is lower than that in non-member countries. However, after the implementation period of the agreement in 2023, there are differences in export decisions of member countries.Conclusion: The RCEP trade agreement implementation positively and significantly affected the value and volume of Indonesian processed cocoa exports in the international market but had no impact on diversification.Originality/value (State of the art): This study focuses on the impact of the RCEP on Indonesia's processed cocoa export performance. This study uses 25 central destination countries for processed cocoa exports, with 10 countries in the treatment group and 15 in the control group. Keywords: export performance, processed cocoa, RCEP, trade agreement, cocoa, international market