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Pengaruh Jumlah Kunjungan Wisatawan, Infrastruktur, Jumlah Tenaga Kerja dan Pendapatan Asli Daerah Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Provinsi Bali Wiguna, I Gede Rihardika Adi; Budiningsih, Ni Ketut
AURELIA: Jurnal Penelitian dan Pengabdian Masyarakat Indonesia Vol 4, No 2 (2025): July 2025
Publisher : CV. Rayyan Dwi Bharata

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.57235/aurelia.v4i2.6785

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh jumlah kunjungan wisatawan, infrastruktur jalan, infrastruktur air bersih, jumlah tenaga kerja, dan pendapatan asli daerah (PAD) terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Provinsi Bali. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah pendekatan kuantitatif dengan analisis regresi linear berganda menggunakan data time series selama periode 1994–2023. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara simultan, kelima variabel independen tersebut berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Provinsi Bali. Secara parsial, variabel jumlah kunjungan wisatawan, infrastruktur air bersih, jumlah tenaga kerja, dan PAD memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Sementara itu, variabel infrastruktur jalan menunjukkan pengaruh positif namun tidak signifikan.
Pengaruh Jumlah Kunjungan Wisatawan, Infrastruktur, Jumlah Tenaga Kerja dan Pendapatan Asli Daerah Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Provinsi Bali Wiguna, I Gede Rihardika Adi; Budiningsih, Ni Ketut
AURELIA: Jurnal Penelitian dan Pengabdian Masyarakat Indonesia Vol 4, No 2 (2025): July 2025
Publisher : CV. Rayyan Dwi Bharata

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.57235/aurelia.v4i2.6785

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh jumlah kunjungan wisatawan, infrastruktur jalan, infrastruktur air bersih, jumlah tenaga kerja, dan pendapatan asli daerah (PAD) terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Provinsi Bali. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah pendekatan kuantitatif dengan analisis regresi linear berganda menggunakan data time series selama periode 1994–2023. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara simultan, kelima variabel independen tersebut berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Provinsi Bali. Secara parsial, variabel jumlah kunjungan wisatawan, infrastruktur air bersih, jumlah tenaga kerja, dan PAD memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Sementara itu, variabel infrastruktur jalan menunjukkan pengaruh positif namun tidak signifikan.
Determinants of Export Volume in Indonesia’s Textile and Textile Products Industry: An Analysis Using the Gravity Model Saputra, Clara Elisabeth Jahja; Budiningsih, Ni Ketut
Business and Investment Review Vol. 3 No. 3 (2025)
Publisher : CV. Lenggogeni Data Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61292/birev.206

Abstract

Indonesia’s textile and textile products (TTP) industry plays a vital role in the national economy, contributing significantly to employment and foreign exchange. However, since 2016, the export volume of TTP has declined, raising concerns about competitiveness and structural resilience. This study investigates the macroeconomic determinants of Indonesia’s TTP export volume to five major trading partners—United States, Japan, South Korea, China, and Germany—over the period 2014–2023. Using the gravity model framework, the analysis incorporates five explanatory variables: GDP per capita, geographical distance, trade openness index, real exchange rate, and population growth rate. Panel data regression is applied, with the Common Effect Model (CEM) selected based on diagnostic tests. The results show that GDP per capita, real exchange rate, and population growth rate positively and significantly affect export volume, while geographical distance and trade openness index exert a negative and significant influence. These findings confirm the relevance of the gravity model in explaining bilateral trade flows and highlight the importance of purchasing power, exchange rate stability, and demographic expansion in driving exports. Conversely, logistical barriers and intensified competition in liberalized markets may suppress export performance. The study offers policy insights for enhancing Indonesia’s export strategy through market diversification, improved logistics, and industrial competitiveness.
Determinants of Indonesia’s Salt Imports in 1990–2024 Period Ginting, Windy Aurelia Br; Budiningsih, Ni Ketut
Business and Investment Review Vol. 3 No. 6 (2025)
Publisher : CV. Lenggogeni Data Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61292/birev.226

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the factors influencing salt imports in Indonesia over the period 1990–2024. Despite Indonesia’s substantial marine resource potential, dependence on imported salt remains high, particularly to meet the needs of the food, chemical, and pharmaceutical industries. This condition is primarily driven by the low quality and insufficient quantity of domestic salt production, which has yet to meet industrial purity standards. The study employs annually time-series with secondary data and utilizes Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and the Error Correction Model (ECM) as analytical techniques. The ECM estimation results indicate that all variables under investigation converge toward a long-run equilibrium, demonstrating the presence of cointegration. Both short-run and long-run analyses further reveal that Gross Domestic Product (GDP), domestic salt production, import salt prices, and the exchange rate jointly exert a significant influence on Indonesia’s salt imports. Partially, the long-run and short-run estimations show that GDP and the Rupiah exchange rate have a positive and statistically significant effect on the volume of salt imports. In contrast, import salt prices exhibit a negative and significant effect in the short run, while domestic salt production is found to be statistically insignificant. Based on these findings, it is recommended that policymakers and relevant stakeholders coordinate more closely to align salt import policies with national economic growth dynamics, while simultaneously strengthening domestic salt production capacity through technological modernization and infrastructure development.
Left behind in the bounce-back? Informal sector vulnerability in Indonesia’s post-pandemic rebound Anandari, I Gusti Agung Ayu Apsari; Budiningsih, Ni Ketut; Yudistira, Dewa Bagus Putu Diva Ananda; Putri, Kadek Sri Mirah Yusita
Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan Vol. 27 No. 1: April 2026
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on labor markets, particularly on those working in the informal sector. In Indonesia, informal workers account for more than half of the total workforce and face considerable risks due to the absence of adequate safety nets and limited access to social protection. Considering the large share of informal workers and their vulnerability during crises such as the pandemic, this study seeks to analyze how the pandemic influenced Indonesian workers’ sectoral mobility and to examine its effects on informal workers’ engagement in the social security program (BPJS Ketenagakerjaan). The analysis relies on data from the Survei Angkatan Kerja Nasional (Sakernas), a large-scale household survey conducted regularly by Badan Pusat Statistik (Statistics Indonesia) to monitor the labor market. Specifically, the study uses Sakernas August 2020 and Sakernas August 2022 to compare labor conditions during the pandemic and the post-pandemic period. A binary logit model is employed to assess Indonesian workers’ sectoral mobility and to examine the likelihood of informal workers’ participation in the social security program relative to formal sector workers. The findings indicate that, in the post-pandemic period, the inclination toward formal sector employment has increased, reflecting a rebound after the pandemic. However, the results also show that informal workers remain significantly less likely to participate in the social security program compared to their formal sector counterparts. These findings highlight the need for policy interventions that expand access and incentives for informal workers to join social security schemes and promote pathways from informal to formal employment. Such measures are critical for sustaining labor market recovery, broadening social protection coverage, and reducing vulnerabilities among Indonesia’s workforce.