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All Journal Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP)
Maharani, Nadiva
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Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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DETERMINAN EKSTERNAL DAN INTERNAL INFLASI DI INDONESIA Maharani, Nadiva; Yeniwati
Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP) Vol. 2 No. 4 (2025): MedREP: Volume 2, No. 4, November 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of external and internal factors on inflation in Indonesia from 1994-2024, which includes global energy prices, global non-energy commodity prices, real exchange rate, and real consumption. The analysis was conducted using multiple linear regression method with Ordinary Least Square (OLS) model adjusted using the Newey-West method (Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent/HAC). The results show that global energy prices have no significant effect on inflation. Conversely, global non-energy commodity prices have a significant positive effect on inflation. The real exchange rate and real consumption show a significant negative effect on inflation in Indonesia. Simultaneously, all four variables are proven to have a significant effect on inflation in Indonesia.These findings provide important implications for the government to continue more targeted energy subsidy policies, maintain real exchange rate stability, strengthen stabilization of non-energy commodity prices through increased agricultural sector productivity and strengthening of national food reserves, and strengthen coordination between monetary and fiscal policies
Co-Authors Yeniwati