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All Journal Journal of Innovation Research and Knowledge Jurnal Riset Ilmiah
Fitri, Syakirah Athiyyah
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Humanities Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Health Professions Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Public Health Social Sciences Other

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PENGARUH KONEKTIVITAS TRANSPORTASI LAUT-DARAT DAN KONTRIBUSI EKONOMI KABUPATEN KEPULAUAN MERANTI TERHADAP KINERJA PELABUHAN TANJUNG HARAPAN Meylan, Wellyn Cesharina; Fitri, Syakirah Athiyyah; Ridhoni, Naila Septa; Ramadhan, Melani Noviantori
SINERGI : Jurnal Riset Ilmiah Vol. 2 No. 6 (2025): SINERGI : Jurnal Riset Ilmiah, Juni 2025
Publisher : Lembaga Pendidikan dan Penelitian Manggala Institute

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62335/sinergi.v2i6.1339

Abstract

Tanjung Harapan Port is a key transportation infrastructure in Meranti Islands Regency, Riau Province. This study aims to analyze the influence of sea-land transportation connectivity and economic contribution on the performance of Tanjung Harapan Port for operational optimization and regional economic development. A descriptive quantitative method was used by analyzing numerical data from 100 respondents in Meranti Islands Regency through purposive sampling. Data were collected using a Google Form questionnaire based on the Likert scale and analyzed using SPSS version 27 through validity, reliability, normality, multiple linear regression, T-test, and determination coefficient tests. The F-test results indicate that maritime-land transportation connectivity and economic contribution simultaneously have a significant impact on port performance with a significance level of (0.000 < 0.1). The Adjusted R-squared value of 0.649 indicates that variables X1 and X2 contribute 64.9% to port performance. Partially, sea-land transportation connectivity has a significant effect (0.001 < 0.1), while economic contribution is more dominant with significance (0.005 < 0.1). Economic contribution plays a more dominant role in improving port performance. Recommendations include improving infrastructure with e-ticket technology, developing economic zones around the port through community empowerment, and expanding research with a larger sample size.
PERAMALAN VOLUME EKSPOR KELAPA INDRAGIRI HILIR MENGGUNAKAN MODEL TRIPLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING Fitri, Syakirah Athiyyah; Naila Septa Ridhoni; Wellyn Cesharina Meylan; Daffa Albarak; Muhammad Hamid
Journal of Innovation Research and Knowledge Vol. 5 No. 7 (2025): Desember 2025
Publisher : Bajang Institute

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Abstract

Volume eskpor kalapa di Kabupaten Indragiri Hilir merupakan indikator penting bagi kinerja ekonomi daerah, meningat wilayah ini adalah penghasil kelapa terbesar di Provinsi Riau. Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis pola dan meramalkan volume ekspor kelapa menggunakan metode Triple Exponential Smoothing (TES), mengingat adanya fluktuasi historis dan pengaruh musiman. Data yang digunakan merupakan deret waktu periode 2015 – 2024, dengan kompenen pemulusan level, tren, dan musiman. Akurasi model dievaluasi menggunakan Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa volume ekspor kelapa cenderung meningkat dalam jangka panjang dan sangat dipengaruhi oleh pola musiman produksi. Komponen musiman tercatat sebagai faktor dominan dalam pergerakan data, sementara MAPE sebesar 13,32% mengindikasikan bahwa model TES memiliki akurasi yang baik. Peramalan untuk periode 2025 – 2026 memperlihatkan pola musiman yang konsisten, dengan puncak ekspor pada Agustus dan titik terendah pada Januari. Secara keseluruhan, metode TES efektif digunakan pada data dengan pola musiman yang kuat dan dapat menjadi dasar perencanaan ekspor serta pengelolaan produksi kelapa di Indragiri Hilir.
Co-Authors Daffa Albarak Meylan, Wellyn Cesharina Muhammad Hamid Naila Septa Ridhoni Ramadhan, Melani Noviantori Ridhoni, Naila Septa Wellyn Cesharina Meylan