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All Journal Algoritma: Jurnal Matematika, Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam, Kebumian dan Angkasa
Seroan, Miracle
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Earth & Planetary Sciences Mathematics

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Pemodelan Matematika untuk Perkiraan Jumlah Penduduk Kabupaten Minahasa pada Tahun 2026 dan 2027 Menggunakan Model Logistik Seroan, Miracle; Annisa Husin; Windy Tunas; Gracela Songkilawang; Arbi Maarial; Fitri Damogalad
Algoritma : Jurnal Matematika, Ilmu pengetahuan Alam, Kebumian dan Angkasa Vol. 2 No. 4 (2024): Algoritma : Jurnal Matematika, Ilmu pengetahuan Alam, Kebumian dan Angkasa
Publisher : Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Matematika dan Sains Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62383/algoritma.v2i4.100

Abstract

This study aims to estimate the population in Minahasa Regency at t=7 or t=8 in 2026-2027 using a logistic population model. Based on data obtained from the Minahasa Regency Central Statistics Agency (BPS) from 2019 to 2022, it can be assumed that the capacity limit (K) = 400,000. The results of this research show that the accurate model to use in determining the estimated population of Minahasa Regency is the model with k = 0.0588644467, and the relative growth rate is 5.88% per year. Then, using the logistic method, the general form of the solution is obtained, namely P(t )=400,000/(e^(-0.0588644467t) (0.16921458)+1). Furthermore, the results obtained show that the predicted population of Minahasa Regency in 2026-2027 is 359,690 and 361,774 people.
Co-Authors Annisa Husin Arbi Maarial Fitri Damogalad Gracela Songkilawang Windy Tunas