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All Journal Jurnal Tirtayasa Ekonomika (Tirtayasa Economica Journal) Multidiciplinary Output Research for Actual and International Issue (Morfai Journal)
Muhammad Fahrur Rozi
Universitas Diponegoro
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ECONOMIC STRUCTURE, ENERGY TRANSITION, AND CARBON EMISSIONS IN ASEAN MARITIME STATES : PANEL ARDL APPROACH Indah Susilowati; Muhammad Fahrur Rozi; Ismiyati; Dwijaya Samudra Suryaman; Maratus Sholikhah
Multidiciplinary Output Research For Actual and International Issue (MORFAI) Vol. 6 No. 1 (2026): Multidiciplinary Output Research For Actual and International Issue
Publisher : RADJA PUBLIKA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18491953

Abstract

This study analyzes the factors influencing carbon emissions in five ASEAN maritime countries, namely Indonesia, Philippines, Thailand, Malaysia, and Vietnam, using the Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (P-ARDL) method with data from 1993 to 2023. The variables studied include economic growth, energy intensity, the share of renewable energy, and sector structure using the agriculture industry proxy. Long-term estimates show that GDP per capita growth, energy intensity, and sector structure have a significant positive effect on carbon emissions, while renewable energy has a negative but insignificant effect. In the short term, energy intensity is the most dominant factor increasing emissions, while economic growth, renewable energy, and sector structure have not shown a significant impact. Vietnam and Thailand are still in the early phase of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC), while the Philippines and Malaysia are beginning to show decoupling through energy efficiency and the service sector. Indonesia shows an unstable transition pattern. These findings emphasize the need to improve energy efficiency and accelerate the clean energy transition in ASEAN maritime countries.
Pengaruh Kinerja Fiskal dan Pembangunan Manusia Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Kota dan Kabupaten di Jawa Tengah Muhammad Fahrur Rozi
Tirtayasa Ekonomika Vol 1, No 1 (2026)
Publisher : FEB Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35448/jte.v1i1.38626

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh belanja pemerintah, pendapatan asli daerah, tingkat partisipasi angkatan kerja dan indeks pembangunan manusia terhadap produk domestic regional produk di 35 kabupaten/kota di Jawa tengah periode 2014-2023. Penelitian ini menggunakan analisis kuantitatif dengan menggunakan analisis regresi data panel dengan Fixed Effect Model (FEM). Data untuk penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder yang diambil dari Badan Pusat Statistik Indonesia dan Djpk.kemenkeu. Hasil penelitian menujukkan secara simultan variabel independen memiliki pengaruh signifikan terhadap variabel dependen, secara partial belanja pemerintah dan tenaga kerja tidak memiliki pengaruh signifikan terhadap PDRB sedangkan, Dana alokasi Khusus memiliki pengaruh negatif dan signifikan, serta indeks pembagunan manusia berpengaruh positif dan signifikan. Implikasi kebijakan yang dapat disaranakan adalah perlunya oplimalisasi efektivitas belanja daerah ke sektor-sektor produktif, penyesuaian skema DAK pada proyek-proyek strategis dan melakukan investasi pada human capital.
Co-Authors Dwijaya Samudra Suryaman Indah Susilowati Ismiyati Maratus Sholikhah