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p-Index From 2021 - 2026
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All Journal Journal of Social Science Return : Study of Management, Economic and Bussines
Raden Parianom
Universitas Pembangunan Nasional "Veteran" Jakarta
Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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Analysis of the Impact of Production Instability, Coal Benchmark Price, Labor Productivity, and Exchange Rate on the Value of Coal Exports to India Dzalika Friska Soraya Pelleh; Raden Parianom
Journal Of Social Science (JoSS) Vol 5 No 2 (2026): Journal of Social Science
Publisher : Al-Makki Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.57185/dvcjs454

Abstract

This research was conducted to analyze the influence of Indonesian coal production, the Indonesian coal reference price, Indonesian labor productivity, and the currency exchange rate on the value of coal exports to India over the period 1994–2024. Secondary annual data were obtained from Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS, Central Bureau of Statistics), the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources, and Refinitiv. The study employed the Error Correction Model (ECM) method to examine the influence of each variable in both the short term and the long term. The research findings indicate that, in the short term, the variables of Indonesian coal production, Indonesian labor productivity, and the currency exchange rate do not have a significant effect on the value of coal exports to India. However, the Indonesian coal reference price has a significant effect on the value of coal exports to India. In the long term, the variables of the Indonesian coal reference price and Indonesian labor productivity significantly influence the value of coal exports to India, while the variables of Indonesian coal production and the currency exchange rate do not have a significant relationship with the value of coal exports to India.
Analysis Of The Effect Of World Coffee Prices, Exchange Rates, Foreign Direct Investment, Inflation, And Coffee Production On The Value Of Coffee Exports In Indonesia Fadlan Ravi Setiawan; Raden Parianom
Return : Study of Management, Economic and Bussines Vol. 5 No. 2 (2026): Return: Study of Management, Economic and Business
Publisher : PT. Publikasiku Academic Solution

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.57096/return.v5i2.433

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of World Coffee Prices, Exchange Rates, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Inflation, and Coffee Production on the Value of Indonesian Coffee Exports during the period 2000–2023. This study uses annual secondary data obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), Bank Indonesia, the World Bank, CEIC, and the Ministry of Trade. The analysis method used is the Error Correction Model (ECM) to identify the influence of independent variables in the short and long term. The results show that World Coffee Prices do not have a significant effect on coffee export value, and Exchange Rates do not have a significant effect in either the short or long term. The FDI variable shows no significant effect in the short term but has a significant positive effect in the long term, proving that foreign investment has a structural impact on increasing coffee exports. Inflation shows no significant effect in both periods, indicating that changes in domestic price levels do not directly affect the value of coffee exports. Coffee production has no significant effect in the short or long term. Overall, the results of this study indicate that the dynamics of Indonesian coffee exports are more influenced by global market conditions, production quality, long-term investment, and the competitiveness of the national coffee industry.
Co-Authors Dzalika Friska Soraya Pelleh Fadlan Ravi Setiawan