Article Per Year (5 Year)
p-Index From 2021 - 2026
0.23
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All Journal International Journal of Education, Vocational and Social Science
Adji Kusuma
Unknown Affiliation
Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Education Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Social Sciences Other

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Forecasting Cyber Threat Landscapes in Indonesia (2025-2026): A Predictive Analysis Using the MITRE ATT&CK Framework Adji Kusuma; Suhirwan; Agus H Sulistyono Reksoprodjo
International Journal of Education, Vocational and Social Science Vol. 5 No. 02 (2026): International Journal of Education, Vocational and Social Science( IJVESS)
Publisher : Cita konsultindo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.63922/ijevss.v5i02.3121

Abstract

As Indonesia accelerates its digital transformation under the "Making Indonesia 4.0" initiative, the national cyber threat landscape is evolving from opportunistic attacks to sophisticated, targeted campaigns. This study presents a predictive analysis of cyber attack trends in Indonesia for the period of 2025-2026. By leveraging historical incident data from the National Cyber and Crypto Agency (BSSN) and global threat intelligence, we map projected adversary behaviors onto the MITRE ATT&CK Framework. The analysis indicates a significant surge in Supply Chain Compromises (T1195), Ransomware-as-a-Service (T1486), and Cloud Infrastructure Exploitation. The findings suggest that Indonesian critical infrastructure, particularly in the financial and e-government sectors, will face heightened risks from Advanced Persistent Threat (APT) groups. This paper proposes a proactive defense strategy centered on Threat Hunting and Zero Trust Architecture to mitigate these forecasted risks.
Co-Authors Agus H Sulistyono Reksoprodjo Suhirwan, Suhirwan