Jurnal Sistem Cerdas
Vol. 3 No. 2 (2020): Riset dan Inovasi Sistem Cerdas pada Penanggulangan Wabah Covid-19

Pemodelan Dampak COVID-19 Terhadap Kebutuhan Energi di Indonesia

Agus Sugiyono (BPPT)
Joko Santosa (BPPT)
Adiarso (BPPT)
Edi Hilmawan (BPPT)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Aug 2020

Abstract

In order to tackle the COVID-19 pandemic, the government issued a large-scale social restriction policy (PSBB). The policy in the form of restrictions on social activities will limit economic activity which ultimately has an impact on decreasing energy demand. This PSBB policy is challenge in implementing a national energy management plan, and might causes some of the energy planning targets not to be achieved. To analyze the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on national energy demand, an energy model was created using LEAP software. LEAP is a model for comprehensive energy planning from energy resources to energy use based on an accounting system. For the purposes of analysis, LEAP requires quite detailed data, in the form of socioeconomic data, energy data, and community activity data due to social restrictions. In this paper, the results of energy modeling simulation are discussed in terms of energy demand based on the scenario of no pandemic or bussiness as usual (BAU) and three pandemic scenarios, namely: optimistic (OPT), moderate (MOD), and pessimistic (PES) scenarios. Energy demand in 2020 is predicted to decrease by 10.7% (OPT scenario), 15.3% (MOD scenario), and 20.0% (PES scenario) compared to the BAU scenario. The model can still be further developed to analyze the impact, both on the overall of demand side and energy supply side and also environmental aspects.

Copyrights © 2020






Journal Info

Abbrev

jsc

Publisher

Subject

Automotive Engineering Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering

Description

Jurnal Sistem Cerdas dengan eISSN : 2622-8254 adalah media publikasi hasil penelitian yang mendukung penelitian dan pengembangan kota, desa, sektor dan kesistemam lainnya. Jurnal ini diterbitkan oleh Asosiasi Prakarsa Indonesia Cerdas (APIC) dan terbit setiap empat bulan ...