Jurnal Pengembangan Teknologi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer
Vol 5 No 6 (2021): Juni 2021

Prediksi Nilai Ekspor Impor Migas Dan Non-Migas Indonesia Menggunakan Extreme Learning Machine (ELM)

Dhatu Kertayuga (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)
Edy Santoso (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)
Nurul Hidayat (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)



Article Info

Publish Date
23 Jun 2021

Abstract

Indonesia's resource wealth is one of the important assets for a developing country. To advance the wheels of the Indonesian economy, trade activities between countries are carried out, namely exports and imports. Resources exported and imported by Indonesia are oil and gas and non-oil and gas resources. Although Indonesia is capable of producing its own oil and gas and non-oil and gas products, Indonesia's imports of oil and gas and non-oil and gas are still higher than Indonesia's total exports of oil and gas and non-oil and gas. To assist Indonesia's economic development strategy, a prediction is needed to estimate the value of Indonesia's oil and gas and non-oil and gas exports and imports. In this study, the algorithm used is Extreme Learning Machine (ELM). Then, the data used are oil and gas and non-oil and gas export data as well as oil and gas and non-oil and gas import data obtained from the Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) from January 1993 to December 2020. The results obtained from this study are export data with the average mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) value of 6.6742% for the comparison of the number of training : testing, the number of data features, and the number of hidden neurons the best is 70%:30%, 5, and 8. While for import datasets, the comparison of the number of training : testing, the number of data features, and the number of hidden neurons is the best 80%:20%, 4, and 10 with a final MAPE average of 10.0515%.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

j-ptiik

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering

Description

Jurnal Pengembangan Teknlogi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer (J-PTIIK) Universitas Brawijaya merupakan jurnal keilmuan dibidang komputer yang memuat tulisan ilmiah hasil dari penelitian mahasiswa-mahasiswa Fakultas Ilmu Komputer Universitas Brawijaya. Jurnal ini diharapkan dapat mengembangkan penelitian ...