BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Vol 15 No 2 (2021): BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan

FORECASTING ARRIVAL OF FOREIGN TOURISTS USING SEASONAL ARIMA BOX-JENKINS

Ilmayasinta, Nur (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Jun 2021

Abstract

Indonesia's economy is influenced by many factors, including the tourism sector. Through this tourism sector, it is possible for many foreign tourists to visit Indonesia. There are so many foreign tourists who come to Indonesia, forecasting is needed to find out the estimates of foreign tourists in the following months based on existing data. The method that used is the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) method. The foreign tourist’s coming to Indonesia through Soekarno Hatta Airport were taken from the center agency on statistics (BPS) Indonesia. Data on the number of foreign tourists who come to Indonesia through Soekarno Hatta Airport is data with a seasonal pattern. The data used is secondary data obtained from Soekarno Hatta Airport for the period January 2010 to June 2015. In this case it is used to predict the value of the data for the next 6 months using the best model is the . Forecasting results show the number of each month increases from the previous year. In July it showed the highest yield of 342536, which was 297878 in the previous year. Forecasting results show the number of each month increases from the previous year. In July, the highest yield was 342536, which was 297878 in the previous year.

Copyrights © 2021






Journal Info

Abbrev

barekeng

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Economics, Econometrics & Finance Energy Engineering Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Transportation

Description

BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu Matematika dan Terapan is one of the scientific publication media, which publish the article related to the result of research or study in the field of Pure Mathematics and Applied Mathematics. Focus and scope of BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu Matematika dan Terapan, as follows: - Pure ...