BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Vol 16 No 3 (2022): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications

COMPARISON OF ARIMA AND GARMA'S PERFORMANCE ON DATA ON POSITIVE COVID-19 CASES IN INDONESIA

Sofro, A'yunin (Unknown)
Khikmah, Khusnia Nurul (Unknown)

Article Info

Publish Date
01 Sep 2022

Abstract

The development of methods in statistics, one of which is used for prediction, is overgrowing. So it requires further analysis related to the goodness of the method. One of the comparisons made to the goodness of this model can be seen by applying it to actual cases around us. The real case still being faced by people worldwide, including in Indonesia, is Covid-19. Therefore, research comparing the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and the Gegenbauer autoregressive moving average (GARMA) method in positive confirmed cases of Covid-19 in Indonesia is essential. Based on the results of this research analysis, it was found that the best model with the Aikake's Information Criterion measure of goodness that was used to predict positive confirmed cases of Covid-19 in Indonesia was the Gegenbauer autoregressive moving average (GARMA) model.

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Journal Info
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Website

Abbrev

barekeng

Publisher

Universitas Pattimura

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Economics, Econometrics & Finance Energy Engineering Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Transportation

Description

BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu Matematika dan Terapan is one of the scientific publication media, which publish the article related to the result of research or study in the field of Pure Mathematics and Applied Mathematics. Focus and scope of BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu Matematika dan Terapan, as follows: - Pure ...