PERILAKU IMPOR SUSU DI INDONESIA

Albertus Maria Setyastanto (STIE INSAN PEMBANGUNAN)

Journal Of Communication Education
Vol 10, No 1 (2016): JOCE IP

ABSTRACTThis paper analyzes the behaviour of milk import in Indonesia during 1985 – 2010. Using an Error Correction Model  (ECM), it finds that in the long run, factors influencing the milk import are percapita income, domestic milk real price, and imported milk price. In the short run, the import is influenced by population size of more than 5-year old residents, real domestic price milk, real price of imported milk, and exchange rates. Variables that do not influence milk imports, both in the short run and in the long run, are national milk production, milk exports, population size of less than 5-year old residents, and the government policy on the deletion of milk imports. Keywords : milk import, ECM, percapita income, milk price, exchange rates, government policy JEL, classification numbers: F13, F14