GEOGRAPHIA: Jurnal Pendidikan dan Penelitian Geografi
Vol. 4 No. 1 (2023): Juni

Optimalisasi Model ARIMA dalam Prakiraan Curah Hujan di Jambi

Alya Claudina Anggun Nandarie (Program Studi Meteorologi Sekolah Tinggi Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika)
Abdul Aziz Al Badri (Program Studi Meteorologi Sekolah Tinggi Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika)
Yosafat Donni Haryanto (Program Studi Meteorologi Sekolah Tinggi Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika)

Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jun 2023

Abstract

Process determine predicted monthly rainfall values for 2022, this study models rainfall forecasts. Observations of monthly rainfall over 30 years (1992–2022) were used to collect the data. The data is then analyzed using the Minitab application's ARIMA model to examine historical trends. For each model utilized, the forecast results are connected with the actual observation data in 2022. The model (1,0,1), (1,0,1) is used to calculate the difference to acquire a result of 54%, which is the best correlation value. The most accurate model for predicting monthly rainfall in Jambi is this one.

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Journal Info
GEOGRAPHIA: Jurnal Pendidikan dan Penelitian Geografi
Website

Abbrev

geographia

Publisher

Universitas Negeri Manado

Subject

Earth & Planetary Sciences Education Environmental Science Social Sciences Other

Description

Journal of Geographia focuses on the field of geography education and research based on empirical research written by academics, researchers, professionals, and practitioners. The scope of the Geographia Journal covers the fields of education in Geography, physical geography, social and cultural ...