JEMSI (Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, dan Akuntansi)
Vol. 9 No. 5 (2023): Oktober 2023

Analysis of The Effect of Credit Default Swap and Macroeconomic Variables on Indonesian Government Bonds Yield

Alfiana Alfiana (Universitas Muhammadiyah Bandung)
Wenny Desty Febrian (Universitas Dian Nusantara)
Suwarsito (Universitas Bina Sarana Informatika)
Herawati (Universitas Muara Bungo)
Aprih Santoso (Universitas Semarang)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Oct 2023

Abstract

The objective of this study is to examine the long- and short-term relationships between macroeconomic variables such as inflation, the Bank Indonesia interest rate (BI Rate), the USD/IDR exchange rate, gross domestic product (GDP), and Credit Default SWAP on Indonesian sovereign bond yields from January 2016 to December 2022. The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) analysis is employed. Microsoft Excel and Eviews were used to perform the research. According to the findings, the dependent variable, inflation, does not have a long-term relationship with bond yields of five, ten, fifteen, or twenty years, but does have a short-term relationship with bond yields. BI Rate has a positive long-term relationship with bond yields of five, ten, and fifteen years. USD/IDR Exchange Rate has a negative long-term relationship with government bond yields of all tenors. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has a negative long-term relationship with bond yields

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jemsi

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

JEMSI (Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, dan Akuntansi) is an electronic independent international scientific and academic journal that aims to publish scholars’ original and high-quality manuscripts and reports in all fields of business. JEMSI adheres to an open access policy to accelerate the ...