al-Uqud : Journal of Islamic Economics
Vol. 7 No. 2 (2023): July

Dynamic relationship between sukuk and economic growth in Indonesia: Evidence from Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Wavelet Analysis

Novitasari, Elva (Unknown)
Arundina, Tika (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jul 2023

Abstract

This research highlights the positive development of the sukuk market in Indonesia, particularly corporate sukuk and sovereign sukuk. Sovereign sukuk experienced faster growth, despite corporate sukuk being issued earlier. Corporate sukuk is considered an economic stimulus through corporate capital expenditure, while sovereign sukuk is used for infrastructure financing. Both types of sukuk are expected to drive economic growth, although the role of sukuk in economic growth is still debated. Therefore, research under current conditions remains highly relevant. This study employs the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The findings indicate a positive contribution of sukuk to long-term economic growth, and economic growth has a positive impact on the sukuk market in the short term. Impulse Response Function (IRF), Variance Decomposition (VD), and Granger Causality analyses are utilized to measure the influence and causality of variables. The impact of sovereign sukuk on economic growth, including the period during the Covid-19 pandemic, has increased compared to the pre-pandemic period. Wavelet analysis is also employed to explore the movements of retail and non-retail sovereign sukuk concerning economic growth in various time periods. The movements of retail sovereign sukuk may serve as an indication of economic growth, and a strong correlation is found between retail sovereign sukuk and economic growth.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jie

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

al-Uqûd : Journal of Islamic Economics published by the Islamic Economic Studies Department of Economics Faculty of Economics, Universitas Negeri Surabaya in cooperation with the Forum of Economic and Business Lecturer Islam (FORDEBI). al-Uqûd published twice a year, in January and July. The ...