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Dynamic relationship between sukuk and economic growth in Indonesia: Evidence from Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Wavelet Analysis Novitasari, Elva; Arundina, Tika
al-Uqud : Journal of Islamic Economics Vol. 7 No. 2 (2023): July
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Surabaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26740/aluqud.v7n2.p243-258

This research highlights the positive development of the sukuk market in Indonesia, particularly corporate sukuk and sovereign sukuk. Sovereign sukuk experienced faster growth, despite corporate sukuk being issued earlier. Corporate sukuk is considered an economic stimulus through corporate capital expenditure, while sovereign sukuk is used for infrastructure financing. Both types of sukuk are expected to drive economic growth, although the role of sukuk in economic growth is still debated. Therefore, research under current conditions remains highly relevant. This study employs the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The findings indicate a positive contribution of sukuk to long-term economic growth, and economic growth has a positive impact on the sukuk market in the short term. Impulse Response Function (IRF), Variance Decomposition (VD), and Granger Causality analyses are utilized to measure the influence and causality of variables. The impact of sovereign sukuk on economic growth, including the period during the Covid-19 pandemic, has increased compared to the pre-pandemic period. Wavelet analysis is also employed to explore the movements of retail and non-retail sovereign sukuk concerning economic growth in various time periods. The movements of retail sovereign sukuk may serve as an indication of economic growth, and a strong correlation is found between retail sovereign sukuk and economic growth.

BANK RUN AND STABILITY OF ISLAMIC BANKING IN INDONESIA Kasri, Rahmatina A.; Arundina, Tika; Indraswari, Kenny D.; Prasetyo, M. Budi
Journal of Islamic Monetary Economics and Finance Vol 3 No 1 (2017)
Publisher : Bank Indonesia

Bank run is an important economic phenomenon which increasingly occurred in in modern banking system and potentially threatened banking stability as it could trigger a banking crisis. However, most studies related to bank run focus on the occurrence of bank run in conventional banking system. Very few of them discuss the bank run phenomenon under Islamic banking system or dual banking system where Islamic banks jointly operating with conventional banks. Therefore, this study attempts to analyze the determinants of bank run in the Indonesian Islamic banking industry by employing primary data from 256 customers of Indonesia Islamic banks in 2015 and by utilizing factor analysis and descriptive statistics. In theory, Islamic banks tend to be more resilient towards any macroeconomic or financial shocks as compared to conventional banks due to the nature of its asset-based and risk-sharing arrangement. However, the result exhibits that both psychological and fundamental factors (i.e. macroeconomics and bank fundamentals) strongly influence the behaviors of Islamic banking depositors to withdraw their funds, which might trigger the occurrence of bank runs in the country. Insider information, macroeconomic condition and bank fundamental factors are also shown to have the highest impacts among all variables. Hence, in the context of banking stability, the finding implies that Islamic banks are not completely immune to the impacts of macroeconomic shocks or financial crisis. As a country with a dual banking system, Indonesia had experienced several bank runs since 1990s. Therefore, the findings of the study should provide the policy makers important insight into research based-policy in order to attain financial stability as one of the main economic goals of the country.

THE ROLE OF ISLAMIC FINANCIAL INCLUSION IN POVERTY, INCOME INEQUALITY, AND HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IN INDONESIA Novreska, Sasiaprita; Arundina, Tika
Journal of Islamic Monetary Economics and Finance Vol 10 No 1 (2024)
Publisher : Bank Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21098/jimf.v10i1.1973

This study empirically analyses the role of Islamic financial inclusion in overcoming poverty, income inequality, and human development problems by employing yearly panel data of 33 provinces in Indonesia from 2014 to 2022. The results show that, except Aceh and DKI Jakarta, all provinces in Indonesia have low Islamic Financial Inclusion Index (IFII). Our analysis reveals that Islamic financial inclusion exerts significant roles in poverty reduction and human development improvement, while it is insignificantly related to income inequality. During the Covid-19 pandemic, the effect on human development of financial inclusion is further strengthened. We further note that the effects of Islamic financial inclusion depends on the levels of Human Development Index (HDI), where poverty reduction and human development improvement are apparent only in provinces with high and very high HDI.

BANK RUN AND STABILITY OF ISLAMIC BANKING IN INDONESIA Kasri, Rahmatina A.; Arundina, Tika; Indraswari, Kenny D.; Prasetyo, M. Budi
Journal of Islamic Monetary Economics and Finance Vol. 3 No. 1 (2017)
Publisher : Bank Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21098/jimf.v3i1.709

Bank run is an important economic phenomenon which increasingly occurred in in modern banking system and potentially threatened banking stability as it could trigger a banking crisis. However, most studies related to bank run focus on the occurrence of bank run in conventional banking system. Very few of them discuss the bank run phenomenon under Islamic banking system or dual banking system where Islamic banks jointly operating with conventional banks. Therefore, this study attempts to analyze the determinants of bank run in the Indonesian Islamic banking industry by employing primary data from 256 customers of Indonesia Islamic banks in 2015 and by utilizing factor analysis and descriptive statistics. In theory, Islamic banks tend to be more resilient towards any macroeconomic or financial shocks as compared to conventional banks due to the nature of its asset-based and risk-sharing arrangement. However, the result exhibits that both psychological and fundamental factors (i.e. macroeconomics and bank fundamentals) strongly influence the behaviors of Islamic banking depositors to withdraw their funds, which might trigger the occurrence of bank runs in the country. Insider information, macroeconomic condition and bank fundamental factors are also shown to have the highest impacts among all variables. Hence, in the context of banking stability, the finding implies that Islamic banks are not completely immune to the impacts of macroeconomic shocks or financial crisis. As a country with a dual banking system, Indonesia had experienced several bank runs since 1990s. Therefore, the findings of the study should provide the policy makers important insight into research based-policy in order to attain financial stability as one of the main economic goals of the country.

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