BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Vol 19 No 1 (2025): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application

THE COMPARISON OF ARIMA AND RNN FOR FORECASTING GOLD FUTURES CLOSING PRICES

Pratiwi, Windy Ayu (Unknown)
Rizki, Anwar Fajar (Unknown)
Notodiputro, Khairil Anwar (Unknown)
Angraini, Yenni (Unknown)
Mualifah, Laily Nissa Atul (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
13 Jan 2025

Abstract

In the financial markets, accurately forecasting the closing prices of gold futures is crucial for investors and analysts. Traditional methods like ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) have been widely used for this purpose, particularly for their effectiveness in short-term stable data forecasting. However, the inherent complexity and dynamic nature of financial data, coupled with trends and seasonal patterns, present significant challenges for long-term forecasting with ARIMA. Conversely, advanced methods such as Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) have shown promise in handling these complexities and providing reliable long-term forecasts. This research seeks to evaluate and compare the performance of ARIMA and RNN in forecasting daily gold futures closing prices using forecast accuracy tests namely RMSE and MAPE, aiming to identify the optimal method that balances accuracy, stability, and adaptability to trends and seasonal variations in the financial market. The daily data for this analysis is sourced from Investing.com (https://www.investing.com).

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Journal Info

Abbrev

barekeng

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Economics, Econometrics & Finance Energy Engineering Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Transportation

Description

BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu Matematika dan Terapan is one of the scientific publication media, which publish the article related to the result of research or study in the field of Pure Mathematics and Applied Mathematics. Focus and scope of BAREKENG: Jurnal ilmu Matematika dan Terapan, as follows: - Pure ...