Journal of Computer Networks, Architecture and High Performance Computing
Vol. 7 No. 1 (2025): Article Research January 2025

INFLATION RATE ESTIMATION USING HYBRID ARIMA-ADAPTIVE NEURO FUZZY INFERENCE SYSTEM METHOD

Annisa, Nur Alvi (Unknown)
Sari, Rina Filia (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
19 Feb 2025

Abstract

Inflation is an important issue that affects the economic stability of a country or region. Unstable inflation will have a negative impact on society, especially on commodity prices including food and energy. Inflation is classified as a time series and will usually recur over time, five years later, or ten years later. , the problem of inflation needs to be studied and analyzed using existing approaches in time series. This research focuses on the application of Hybrid ARIMA-Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System method for inflation estimation, which is expected to provide a more accurate picture of the price fluctuations of basic needs in North Sumatra. Overall, the results show that the ability of the Hybrid ARIMA-Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System method in estimating inflation values is quite good with the results tending to be stable and not experiencing many sharp fluctuations. The inflation value is in the range of around -2.69 to -2.73 throughout the predicted period. However, a continuous negative number indicates a price decline or economic pressure, so further analysis or development is needed to understand the cause. The estimation results may help to maintain stability or make desired changes in the future.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

CNAPC

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Education

Description

Journal of Computer Networks, Architecture and Performance Computing is a scientific journal that contains all the results of research by lecturers, researchers, especially in the fields of computer networks, computer architecture, computing. this journal is published by Information Technology and ...