Li Falah: Jurnal Studi Ekonomi dan Bisnis Islam
Vol. 9 No. 1 (2024): June 2024

Macroeconomic Determinants of Islamic Stock Market Performance: An Analysis of Interest Rates, Inflation, Exchange Rates and Gold Prices

Layaman, Layaman (Unknown)
Abdul Wadud, Abdul Muizz (Unknown)
Jaelani, Aan (Unknown)
Mawaddah, Zazilatul (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
25 Apr 2025

Abstract

This study investigates how key macroeconomic variables influence the Islamic stock market in Indonesia through analysis of the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII). The research examines the impact of interest rates, inflation, exchange rates, and global gold prices on Islamic stock price movements, using monthly time series data from 2017 to 2021. The study employs multiple linear regression analysis with classical assumption tests to analyze the relationships between these variables. The findings reveal that interest rates have a significant positive effect on Islamic stock prices, while exchange rates demonstrate a significant negative impact. Inflation shows a negative but insignificant influence, and global gold prices exhibit a negative but statistically insignificant effect on the Islamic stock index. The model explains 69.8% of the variance in Islamic stock prices, indicating the substantial role of macroeconomic factors in determining Islamic stock market performance. These results provide valuable insights for investors, policymakers, and market participants in understanding the dynamics of Islamic stock markets and their relationship with broader economic conditions. The study contributes to the growing literature on Islamic finance by demonstrating how Sharia-compliant investments respond to various macroeconomic factors, offering practical implications for investment strategies and market regulation.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

lifalah

Publisher

Subject

Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Social Sciences

Description

Li Falah, Journal of Islamic Economics and Business Studies is a scientific journal concerning on the latest research results and becomes a scientific communication media for lecturers, researchers, and or observers in the Islamic economics and business ...