Sibatik Journal : Jurnal Ilmiah Bidang Sosial, Ekonomi, Budaya, Teknologi, Dan Pendidikan
Vol. 4 No. 7 (2025)

THE EFFECT OF MONETARY FACTORS ON THE EXCHANGE RATE: A STUDY WITH VECM APPROACH

Nugrahani, Eva Idvi (Unknown)
Dwi Atmanti, Hastarini (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
08 Jun 2025

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of monetary factors on the exchange rate of the Rupiah against the US Dollar using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) approach. The variables used include interest rates, inflation, and foreign exchange reserves as independent variables, and exchange rates. The data used is annual data from 1988 to 2023 obtained from official sources such as Bank Indonesia, BPS, and World Bank. The stationarity test results show that all variables are (1). The cointegration test shows that there is a long-term relationship between variables. Model estimation shows that interest rates and inflation have a significant effect on the exchange rate in the short term, while foreign exchange reserves play a role in the long term. The impulse response and variance decomposition results corroborate that exchange rate fluctuations are mostly influenced by shocks to interest rates and inflation. This study emphasizes the importance of monetary management in maintaining exchange rate stability.

Copyrights © 2025






Journal Info

Abbrev

SIBATIK

Publisher

Subject

Arts Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Social Sciences

Description

SIBATIK JOURNAL merupakan jurnal ilmiah populer bidang Sosial, Ekonomi, Budaya, Teknologi, dan Pendidikan yang terbit setiap bulan. SIBATIK JOURNAL menerima naskah hasil penelitian dan hasil kajian yang memunculkan gagasan-gagasan ilmiah dan aktual di bidang Sosial, Ekonomi, Budaya, Teknologi, dan ...