Media Riset Bisnis Ekonomi Sains dan Terapan
Vol 3, No 2 (2025): Media Riset Bisnis Ekonomi Sains dan Terapan

ANALISIS PENGARUH VOLATILITAS NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP KINERJA KEUANGAN PADA INDUSTRI PERBANKAN DI INDONESIA

Hendrawan, Agus (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
10 Jul 2025

Abstract

ABSTRACTThis paper analyzes the impact of Rupiah exchange rate fluctuations (against USD, JPY, and EUR) on the banking performance in Indonesia. We apply four proxies for bank performance: the intermediation function measured by the Loan-to-Deposit Ratio (LDR), and profitability measured by income from spot derivative transactions (INCSD). In addition to exchange rates, we incorporate bank-specific characteristics, including total assets (ASSET) and loan loss provisions (Provision), as well as macroeconomic variables such as GDP growth, interbank rates (JIBOR), and inflation—following recent frameworks by Nguyen et al. (2022) and Fanta et al. (2021). The dataset includes all commercial banks operating in Indonesia between 2019 and 2024, generating approximately 12,000 observations. Using panel data estimation with fixed and random effects models, this study finds that exchange rate volatility significantly affects bank performance. Specifically, exchange rate movements have a stronger and more consistent impact on intermediation (LDR) than on profitability (INCSD), as indicated by a higher R-squared value (0.9561 for LDR compared to 0.5309 for INCSD), which aligns with findings from Syarifuddin and Haryanto (2023) and Ghosh (2020). Keywords: Exchange rate, bank performance, panel estimation, intermediation, profitability.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

mrbest

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Other

Description

MRBEST merupakan jurnal ilmiah yang diterbitkan dan dikelola oleh Taksasila Edukasi Insani (TeiN), mempublikasikan artikel berbahasa Indonesia dengan tema yang terkait dengan bidang Bisnis, Ekonomi, Sains, dan Terapan. Terbit 4 kali dalam setahun, yaitu pada bulan Desember, Maret, Juni dan September ...