Sibatik Journal : Jurnal Ilmiah Bidang Sosial, Ekonomi, Budaya, Teknologi, Dan Pendidikan
Vol. 4 No. 9 (2025)

ANALISIS PENGARUH EKSPOR MIGAS, PMDN, PDB TERHADAP TINGKAT KEMISKINAN DI INDONESIA

Awwalina Alfi Ainurrahmi, ‘Asy'fa (Unknown)
Tutik, Tutik (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
10 Aug 2025

Abstract

This study analyzes the effect of oil and gas exports, Domestic Investment (PMDN), and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on poverty levels in Indonesia during the period 1998–2023 using the Error Correction Model (ECM) approach. The objective is to examine both the short-term and long-term relationships between these macroeconomic variables and their impact on poverty reduction. The results show that all three variables have a negative and significant effect on poverty levels. Oil and gas exports reduce poverty by 0.11% in the short term and 0.19% in the long term. PMDN contributes to a 0.06% decrease in poverty in the short term and 0.10% in the long term. Meanwhile, GDP helps reduce poverty by 0.11% in the short term and 0.17% in the long term. The adjusted R² value of 97.21% indicates that the model explains the variation in poverty levels very well. These findings affirm that increasing oil and gas exports, domestic investment, and economic growth are effective strategies for poverty alleviation. Therefore, the government should strengthen and sustain economic policies supporting these three sectors to ensure equitable and sustainable poverty reduction.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

SIBATIK

Publisher

Subject

Arts Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Social Sciences

Description

SIBATIK JOURNAL merupakan jurnal ilmiah populer bidang Sosial, Ekonomi, Budaya, Teknologi, dan Pendidikan yang terbit setiap bulan. SIBATIK JOURNAL menerima naskah hasil penelitian dan hasil kajian yang memunculkan gagasan-gagasan ilmiah dan aktual di bidang Sosial, Ekonomi, Budaya, Teknologi, dan ...